INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over NVMI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NVMI

Nova Ltd.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NVMI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NVMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$328—
Cheap26x$211-36%
Fair39x$313-4.5%
Current41x$328—
Expensive54x$433+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVMI's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVMI, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails NVMI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$528.27
Downside-20%$262.63

Calculated from the latest close: $327.64 on Nov 12.

NVMI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVMI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+66%
Q2 2026$8.05+9.5%
Q1 2026$7.99+21%
Q4 2025$8.01+40%
Q3 2025$7.65+43%
Q2 2025$7.35+53%
Q1 2025$6.61+53%
Q4 2024$5.73+34%
Q3 2024$5.34+27%

NVMI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVMI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$255M+16%
Q1 2026$235.3M+10%
Q4 2025$222.6M+14%
Q3 2025$224.6M+25%
Q2 2025$220M+40%
Q1 2025$213.4M+50%
Q4 2024$194.8M+45%
Q3 2024$179M+39%

NVMI has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over NVMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVMI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$38.4M-10%
Q1 2026$36M-40%
Q4 2025$48.4M-21%
Q3 2025$66.9M+55%
Q2 2025$42.9M-26%
Q1 2025$59.7M+5.3%
Q4 2024$61M+191%
Q3 2024$43.1M-0.2%

NVMI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $190M over the past year, down 8.2% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

NVMI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+7.5%+2.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+2.5M shares
5 years+16%+4.6M shares
Available history+21%+6M shares

NVMI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over NVMI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVMI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.4xVery low

NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NVMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVMI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVMISector medianRelative
PE41x28x46% above
PE %563521 pts above

NVMI is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over NVMI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$337.93% below
20 week MA$377.613% below
50 week MA$422.923% below
100 week MA$336.02.5% below
200 week MA$242.935% above

NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over NVMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.1$70.3+85%
2021$70.3$137.0+95%
2022$137.0$81.7-40%
2023$81.7$137.4+68%
2024$137.4$200.1+46%
2025$200.1$330.9+65%
2026 YTD$330.9$327.6-1%

NVMI has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 1% so far in 2026.

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