INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
MSI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
MSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 31x | $385 | -27% |
| Fair | 35x | $434 | -18% |
| Expensive | 39x | $482 | -9.1% |
| Current | 43x | $530 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.42 | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.69 | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.40 | +3.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.75 | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.47 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.43 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.99 | +48% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.23 | -7% |
MSI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.4B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $3B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +5.7% |
MSI has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | +1.1 points |
MSI has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over MSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $589M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $414M | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $389M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $732M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $225M | +101% |
| Q1 2025 | $473M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $984M | -15% |
MSI generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
MSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +200K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -4.3M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -6.7M shares |
| Available history | -4.7% | -8.2M shares |
MSI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $94M |
| Q2 2026 | $331M |
| Q1 2026 | $118M |
| Q4 2025 | $490M |
| Q3 2025 | $121M |
| Q2 2025 | $218M |
| Q1 2025 | $325M |
| Q4 2024 | $103M |
MSI spent $1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 35% from the year before.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over MSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
MSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 81.5 | Overbought |
MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43x | 28x | 53% above |
| PE % | 86 | 35 | 51 pts above |
MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
MSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $478.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $461.8 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $434.8 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $434.6 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $387.3 | 37% above |
MSI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over MSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $161.5 | $168.5 | +4.3% |
| 2021 | $168.5 | $262.9 | +56% |
| 2022 | $262.9 | $256.6 | -2.4% |
| 2023 | $256.6 | $313.1 | +22% |
| 2024 | $313.1 | $467.3 | +49% |
| 2025 | $467.3 | $377.0 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $377.0 | $530.4 | +41% |
MSI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.