INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MCHP

Microchip Technology Incorporated

76
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCHP has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MCHP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Stable

MCHP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCHP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$62.08—
Cheap21x$28.42-54%
Fair40x$53.17-14%
Current47x$62.08—
Expensive104x$138+122%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCHP's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCHP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MCHP, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails MCHP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MCHP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$137.59
Downside-12%$54.54

Calculated from the latest close: $62.08 on Nov 12.

MCHP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MCHP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.02+202%
Q3 2026$1.33+$1.78
Q2 2026$0.68+$1.02
Q1 2026$0.22+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.29-151%
Q3 2025-$0.45-131%
Q2 2025-$0.34-114%
Q1 2025-$0.01-100%
Q4 2024$0.57-87%

MCHP has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCHP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+42%
Q2 2026$1.5B+38%
Q1 2026$1.3B+35%
Q4 2025$1.2B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B-2%
Q2 2025$1.1B-13%
Q1 2025$970.5M-27%
Q4 2024$1B-42%

MCHP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $1.6B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over MCHP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCHP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$396.1M+668%
Q2 2026$497.6M+93%
Q1 2026$242.8M+27%
Q4 2025$318.9M+26%
Q3 2025$51.6M+126%
Q2 2025$257.7M-15%
Q1 2025$191.7M-51%
Q4 2024$253.4M-68%

MCHP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.5B over the past year, up 93% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

MCHP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+100K shares
1 year+1%+5.6M shares
3 years+0.3%+1.4M shares
5 years-2.7%-15.3M shares
Available history+6.6%+34M shares

MCHP has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over MCHP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCHP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

MCHP's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MCHP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic28.2Neutral

MCHP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCHP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMCHPSector medianRelative
PE47x28x68% above
PE %613526 pts above

MCHP is trading at 47x earnings, a 68% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over MCHP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MCHP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.715% below
20 week MA$76.218% below
50 week MA$77.220% below
100 week MA$68.29% below
200 week MA$75.217% below

MCHP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over MCHP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MCHP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.7$68.4+30%
2021$68.4$86.9+27%
2022$86.9$69.9-20%
2023$69.9$90.2+29%
2024$90.2$58.3-35%
2025$58.3$64.9+11%
2026 YTD$64.9$62.1-4.4%

MCHP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.4% so far in 2026.

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