INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over LDOS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

LDOS

Leidos Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LDOS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

LDOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

LDOS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LDOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$131—
Current12x$131—
Cheap16x$180+37%
Fair19x$218+66%
Expensive25x$277+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LDOS's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over LDOS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LDOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LDOS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LDOS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LDOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$157.25
Downside-16%$110.44

Calculated from the latest close: $131.11 on Nov 12.

LDOS trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LDOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $2.34Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $9.22Q2 2025: $9.92Q3 2025: $10.56Q4 2025: $10.70Q1 2026: $11.14Q2 2026: $10.93Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.19Forward: $11.56
Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $2.34Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $9.22Q2 2025: $9.92Q3 2025: $10.56Q4 2025: $10.70Q1 2026: $11.14Q2 2026: $10.93Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.19Forward: $11.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.56+3.3%
Q3 2026$11.19+4.6%
Q2 2026$10.73+1.6%
Q1 2026$10.93+10%
Q4 2025$11.14+21%
Q3 2025$10.70+22%
Q2 2025$10.56+229%
Q1 2025$9.92+324%
Q4 2024$9.22+540%

LDOS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

LDOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.6BQ4 2026: $4.6B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.6BQ4 2026: $4.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.6B+3.6%
Q2 2026$4.6B+7.2%
Q1 2026$4.4B+3.7%
Q4 2025$4.2B-3.6%
Q3 2025$4.5B+6.7%
Q2 2025$4.3B+2.9%
Q1 2025$4.2B+6.8%
Q4 2024$4.4B+9.7%

LDOS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over LDOS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LDOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $633MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $680MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $761MQ4 2026: $476M
Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $633MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $680MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $761MQ4 2026: $476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$476M-30%
Q2 2026$761M+67%
Q1 2026$270M+650%
Q4 2025$452M+112%
Q3 2025$680M+7.4%
Q2 2025$457M+30%
Q1 2025$36M-22%
Q4 2024$213M-5.8%

LDOS generated $2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

LDOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 137MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 128MQ3 2026: 126MQ4 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 137MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 128MQ3 2026: 126MQ4 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-5M shares
3 years-8.8%-12M shares
5 years-13%-18M shares
Available history-14%-20M shares

LDOS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over LDOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LDOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

LDOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LDOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic66.9Neutral

LDOS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LDOS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLDOSSector medianRelative
PE12x28x58% below
PE %43531 pts below

LDOS is trading at 12x earnings, a 58% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

LDOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$128.81.8% above
20 week MA$126.73.5% above
50 week MA$147.111% below
100 week MA$153.615% below
200 week MA$136.53.9% below

LDOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 3.9% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over LDOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LDOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.2$104.2+6.1%
2021$104.2$87.4-16%
2022$87.4$105.2+20%
2023$105.2$108.2+2.9%
2024$108.2$144.5+33%
2025$144.5$185.9+29%
2026 YTD$185.9$131.1-29%

LDOS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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