ICUI

ICU Medical, Inc.

54
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ICUI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ICUI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ICUI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

ICUI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ICUI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1361x2722x4083x5444x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1361x2722x4083x5444x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$177—
Cheap46x$110-38%
Fair52x$124-30%
Current74x$177—
Expensive136x$325+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICUI has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ICUI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ICUI, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ICUI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$243.31
Downside-15%$151.58

Calculated from the latest close: $177.30 on Nov 12.

ICUI trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ICUI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ICUI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.23Q1 2024: $-2.45Q2 2024: $-2.92Q3 2024: $-4.57Q4 2024: $-4.83Q1 2025: $-3.83Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $1.86Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $9.19
Q4 2023: $-1.23Q1 2024: $-2.45Q2 2024: $-2.92Q3 2024: $-4.57Q4 2024: $-4.83Q1 2025: $-3.83Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $1.86Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $9.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.19+283%
Q3 2026$2.40+$2.71
Q2 2026$1.19+$2.71
Q1 2026$1.86+$5.69
Q4 2025$0.03+$4.86
Q3 2025-$0.31+$4.26
Q2 2025-$1.52+$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.83-$1.38
Q4 2024-$4.83-$3.60

ICUI has returned to profit: it earned $2.40 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ICUI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICUI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $588MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $596MQ3 2024: $589MQ4 2024: $630MQ1 2025: $605MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $537MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $530MQ2 2026: $552MQ3 2026: $560M
Q4 2023: $588MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $596MQ3 2024: $589MQ4 2024: $630MQ1 2025: $605MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $537MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $530MQ2 2026: $552MQ3 2026: $560M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$560.4M+4.4%
Q2 2026$551.7M+0.5%
Q1 2026$530.2M-12%
Q4 2025$540.7M-14%
Q3 2025$537M-8.9%
Q2 2025$548.9M-8%
Q1 2025$604.7M+6.7%
Q4 2024$629.8M+7.1%

ICUI's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $560M last quarter, up 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ICUI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICUI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.4M+202%
Q2 2026$61.6M+$70.1M
Q1 2026$27.6M-25%
Q4 2025$36M+123%
Q3 2025$27.6M+71%
Q2 2025-$8.5M-114%
Q1 2025$36.7M+23%
Q4 2024$16.1M-74%

ICUI generated $209M in free cash flow over the past year, up 190% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ICUI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICUI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+101K shares
1 year+1.9%+459K shares
3 years+3.2%+777K shares
5 years+16%+3.4M shares
Available history+17%+3.6M shares

ICUI has 25M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ICUI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ICUI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

ICUI's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.6 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over ICUI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ICUI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic49.5Neutral

ICUI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ICUI PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricICUISector medianRelative
PE74x26x186% above
PE %702941 pts above

ICUI is trading at 74x earnings, a 186% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over ICUI on valuation relative to its sector.

ICUI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$165.96.9% above
20 week MA$166.16.7% above
50 week MA$149.519% above
100 week MA$143.823% above
200 week MA$141.825% above

ICUI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

ICUI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$186.2$211.7+14%
2021$211.7$235.7+11%
2022$235.7$156.0-34%
2023$156.0$99.7-36%
2024$99.7$154.5+55%
2025$154.5$147.9-4.3%
2026 YTD$147.9$177.3+20%

ICUI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ICUI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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