HXL

Hexcel Corporation

76
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HXL has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HXL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

HXL's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HXL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$79.91—
Cheap32x$71.17-11%
Current36x$79.91—
Fair47x$105+31%
Expensive66x$146+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HXL's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HXL, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HXL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$117.59
Downside-9%$72.32

Calculated from the latest close: $79.91 on Nov 12.

HXL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails HXL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HXL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+23%
Q3 2026$2.22+161%
Q2 2026$1.98+83%
Q1 2026$1.510%
Q4 2025$1.37-14%
Q3 2025$0.85-35%
Q2 2025$1.08-15%
Q1 2025$1.51+29%
Q4 2024$1.59+28%

HXL has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

HXL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$496.4M+8.8%
Q2 2026$529.3M+8%
Q1 2026$501.5M+9.9%
Q4 2025$491.3M+3.7%
Q3 2025$456.2M-0.1%
Q2 2025$489.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$456.5M-3.3%
Q4 2024$473.8M+3.6%

HXL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over HXL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HXL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$50.7M-47%
Q2 2026$58M+625%
Q1 2026-$6.2M+$48.4M
Q4 2025$107.3M-25%
Q3 2025$96.5M+32%
Q2 2025$8M-62%
Q1 2025-$54.6M-$18.9M
Q4 2024$144M-0.8%

HXL has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

HXL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+200K shares
1 year-4.5%-3.6M shares
3 years-10%-8.9M shares
5 years-9.4%-8M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

HXL has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

HXL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

HXL's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HXL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

HXL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

HXL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHXLSector medianRelative
PE36x24x50% above
PE %245834 pts below

HXL is trading at 36x earnings, a 50% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HXL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$83.13.9% below
20 week MA$92.514% below
50 week MA$88.39.5% below
100 week MA$74.57.2% above
200 week MA$71.212% above

HXL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over HXL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HXL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.8$48.8-34%
2021$48.8$51.4+5.3%
2022$51.4$58.0+13%
2023$58.0$73.8+27%
2024$73.8$63.1-14%
2025$63.1$76.1+21%
2026 YTD$76.1$79.9+5%

HXL has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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