HXL

Hexcel Corporation

76
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HXL's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 36x earnings, below its usual 47x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

HXL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

HXL's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

HXL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$79.91—
Cheap32x$71.17-11%
Current36x$79.91—
Fair47x$105+31%
Expensive66x$146+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HXL's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

HXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HXL, with profitability improving.

HXL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$117.59
Downside-9%$72.32

Calculated from the latest close: $79.91 on Nov 12.

HXL's one-year upside scenario is about five times its downside: +47% against −9.5%.

HXL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+23%
Q3 2026$2.22+161%
Q2 2026$1.98+83%
Q1 2026$1.510%
Q4 2025$1.37-14%
Q3 2025$0.85-35%
Q2 2025$1.08-15%
Q1 2025$1.51+29%
Q4 2024$1.59+28%

HXL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.22 over the past year, against $3.57 in late 2019.

HXL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$496.4M+8.8%
Q2 2026$529.3M+8%
Q1 2026$501.5M+9.9%
Q4 2025$491.3M+3.7%
Q3 2025$456.2M-0.1%
Q2 2025$489.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$456.5M-3.3%
Q4 2024$473.8M+3.6%

HXL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

HXL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$50.7M-47%
Q2 2026$58M+625%
Q1 2026-$6.2M+$48.4M
Q4 2025$107.3M-25%
Q3 2025$96.5M+32%
Q2 2025$8M-62%
Q1 2025-$54.6M-$18.9M
Q4 2024$144M-0.8%

HXL generated $210M in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.2% from the year before.

HXL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+200K shares
1 year-4.5%-3.6M shares
3 years-10%-8.9M shares
5 years-9.4%-8M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

HXL has 77M diluted shares, down 4.5% from a year ago, with $353M in buybacks over the past year.

HXL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

HXL's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

HXL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

HXL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HXL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHXLSector medianRelative
PE36x24x50% above
PE %245834 pts below

HXL is trading at 36x earnings, a 50% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

HXL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$83.13.9% below
20 week MA$92.514% below
50 week MA$88.39.5% below
100 week MA$74.57.2% above
200 week MA$71.212% above

HXL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% above its 200-week average.

HXL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.8$48.8-34%
2021$48.8$51.4+5.3%
2022$51.4$58.0+13%
2023$58.0$73.8+27%
2024$73.8$63.1-14%
2025$63.1$76.1+21%
2026 YTD$76.1$79.9+5%

HXL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5% so far in 2026.

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