HXL

Hexcel Corporation

76
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HXL has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HXL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

HXL's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HXL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$79.91—
Cheap32x$71.17-11%
Current36x$79.91—
Fair47x$105+31%
Expensive66x$146+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HXL's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HXL, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

HXL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$117.59
Downside-9%$72.32

Calculated from the latest close: $79.91 on Nov 12.

HXL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails HXL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HXL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.27Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.59Q1 2025: $1.51Q2 2025: $1.08Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.22Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+23%
Q3 2026$2.22+161%
Q2 2026$1.98+83%
Q1 2026$1.510%
Q4 2025$1.37-14%
Q3 2025$0.85-35%
Q2 2025$1.08-15%
Q1 2025$1.51+29%
Q4 2024$1.59+28%

HXL has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

HXL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
Q4 2023: $458MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $500MQ3 2024: $457MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $457MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $456MQ4 2025: $491MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $529MQ3 2026: $496M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$496.4M+8.8%
Q2 2026$529.3M+8%
Q1 2026$501.5M+9.9%
Q4 2025$491.3M+3.7%
Q3 2025$456.2M-0.1%
Q2 2025$489.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$456.5M-3.3%
Q4 2024$473.8M+3.6%

HXL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over HXL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HXL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$50.7M-47%
Q2 2026$58M+625%
Q1 2026-$6.2M+$48.4M
Q4 2025$107.3M-25%
Q3 2025$96.5M+32%
Q2 2025$8M-62%
Q1 2025-$54.6M-$18.9M
Q4 2024$144M-0.8%

HXL has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

HXL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+200K shares
1 year-4.5%-3.6M shares
3 years-10%-8.9M shares
5 years-9.4%-8M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

HXL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

HXL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

HXL's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HXL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

HXL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HXL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHXLSector medianRelative
PE36x24x50% above
PE %245834 pts below

HXL is trading at 36x earnings, a 50% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HXL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$83.13.9% below
20 week MA$92.514% below
50 week MA$88.39.5% below
100 week MA$74.57.2% above
200 week MA$71.212% above

HXL has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

HXL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.8$48.8-34%
2021$48.8$51.4+5.3%
2022$51.4$58.0+13%
2023$58.0$73.8+27%
2024$73.8$63.1-14%
2025$63.1$76.1+21%
2026 YTD$76.1$79.9+5%

HXL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over HXL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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