HTLD

Heartland Express, Inc.

54
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HTLD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over HTLD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

HTLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Strong

HTLD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

HTLD PE Valuation

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

HTLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTLD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

VRT has the edge over HTLD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HTLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$13.96
Downside-26%$7.70

Calculated from the latest close: $10.36 on Nov 12.

HTLD trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HTLD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HTLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36—
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.31
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.55-$0.18
Q4 2025-$0.67-$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.46-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.47-$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.37-$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.38-300%

HTLD lost $0.15 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over HTLD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HTLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$179.5M-8.7%
Q2 2026$184.1M-12%
Q1 2026$176.3M-20%
Q4 2025$179.4M-26%
Q3 2025$196.5M-24%
Q2 2025$210.4M-23%
Q1 2025$219.4M-19%
Q4 2024$242.6M-12%

HTLD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $180M last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over HTLD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M+$4.7M
Q2 2026-$34.6M-$21.8M
Q1 2026$5.1M+125%
Q4 2025-$44.2M+$1.3M
Q3 2025-$12.2M-149%
Q2 2025-$12.8M-143%
Q1 2025$2.3M-91%
Q4 2024-$45.5M-601%

HTLD has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$81M over the past year, against −$68M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over HTLD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

HTLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-45K shares
1 year-0.2%-126K shares
3 years-2.2%-1.7M shares
5 years-2.5%-2M shares
Available history-5.6%-4.6M shares

HTLD has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HTLD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

HTLD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over HTLD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HTLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

HTLD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HTLD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHTLDSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

HTLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.8% below
20 week MA$12.215% below
50 week MA$11.913% below
100 week MA$10.51.1% below
200 week MA$12.014% below

HTLD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over HTLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HTLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$18.2-13%
2021$18.2$16.6-9%
2022$16.6$15.8-4.9%
2023$15.8$14.3-9.5%
2024$14.3$11.1-22%
2025$11.1$9.20-17%
2026 YTD$9.20$10.4+13%

HTLD has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's up 13% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over HTLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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