HTLD

Heartland Express, Inc.

54
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HTLD lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

HTLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Strong

HTLD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

HTLD PE Valuation

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

HTLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTLD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HTLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$13.96
Downside-26%$7.70

Calculated from the latest close: $10.36 on Nov 12.

HTLD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +35% against −26%.

HTLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36—
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.31
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.55-$0.18
Q4 2025-$0.67-$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.46-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.47-$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.37-$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.38-300%

HTLD lost $0.15 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

HTLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$179.5M-8.7%
Q2 2026$184.1M-12%
Q1 2026$176.3M-20%
Q4 2025$179.4M-26%
Q3 2025$196.5M-24%
Q2 2025$210.4M-23%
Q1 2025$219.4M-19%
Q4 2024$242.6M-12%

HTLD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $180M last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M+$4.7M
Q2 2026-$34.6M-$21.8M
Q1 2026$5.1M+125%
Q4 2025-$44.2M+$1.3M
Q3 2025-$12.2M-149%
Q2 2025-$12.8M-143%
Q1 2025$2.3M-91%
Q4 2024-$45.5M-601%

HTLD has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$81M over the past year, against −$68M the year before.

HTLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-45K shares
1 year-0.2%-126K shares
3 years-2.2%-1.7M shares
5 years-2.5%-2M shares
Available history-5.6%-4.6M shares

HTLD has 77M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HTLD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

HTLD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

HTLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

HTLD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HTLD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHTLDSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.8% below
20 week MA$12.215% below
50 week MA$11.913% below
100 week MA$10.51.1% below
200 week MA$12.014% below

HTLD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

HTLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$18.2-13%
2021$18.2$16.6-9%
2022$16.6$15.8-4.9%
2023$15.8$14.3-9.5%
2024$14.3$11.1-22%
2025$11.1$9.20-17%
2026 YTD$9.20$10.4+13%

HTLD has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's up 13% so far in 2026.

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