HTLD

Heartland Express, Inc.

54
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HTLD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has a slight edge over HTLD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HTLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Strong

HTLD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HTLD PE Valuation

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTLD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over HTLD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HTLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$13.96
Downside-26%$7.70

Calculated from the latest close: $10.36 on Nov 12.

HTLD trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HTLD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HTLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36—
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.31
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.55-$0.18
Q4 2025-$0.67-$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.46-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.47-$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.37-$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.38-300%

HTLD lost $0.15 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over HTLD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $270MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $210MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $179MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$179.5M-8.7%
Q2 2026$184.1M-12%
Q1 2026$176.3M-20%
Q4 2025$179.4M-26%
Q3 2025$196.5M-24%
Q2 2025$210.4M-23%
Q1 2025$219.4M-19%
Q4 2024$242.6M-12%

HTLD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $180M last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over HTLD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$44MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M+$4.7M
Q2 2026-$34.6M-$21.8M
Q1 2026$5.1M+125%
Q4 2025-$44.2M+$1.3M
Q3 2025-$12.2M-149%
Q2 2025-$12.8M-143%
Q1 2025$2.3M-91%
Q4 2024-$45.5M-601%

HTLD has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$81M over the past year, against −$68M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

HTLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-45K shares
1 year-0.2%-126K shares
3 years-2.2%-1.7M shares
5 years-2.5%-2M shares
Available history-5.6%-4.6M shares

HTLD has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

HTLD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

HTLD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HTLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

HTLD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

HTLD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHTLDSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.8% below
20 week MA$12.215% below
50 week MA$11.913% below
100 week MA$10.51.1% below
200 week MA$12.014% below

HTLD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over HTLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HTLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$18.2-13%
2021$18.2$16.6-9%
2022$16.6$15.8-4.9%
2023$15.8$14.3-9.5%
2024$14.3$11.1-22%
2025$11.1$9.20-17%
2026 YTD$9.20$10.4+13%

HTLD has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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