HTLD
Heartland Express, Inc.
HTLD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over HTLD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
HTLD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
HTLD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HTLD PE Valuation
HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HTLD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HTLD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over HTLD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
HTLD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.36 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.15 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.20 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.55 | -$0.18 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | -$0.29 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.18 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.47 | -$0.17 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.37 | -$0.21 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | -300% |
HTLD lost $0.15 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over HTLD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HTLD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $179.5M | -8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $184.1M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $176.3M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.4M | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $196.5M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $210.4M | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $219.4M | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.6M | -12% |
HTLD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $180M last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.9% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -13% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.9% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.8% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4% | -3.5 points |
HTLD has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over HTLD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HTLD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.4M | +$4.7M |
| Q2 2026 | -$34.6M | -$21.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1M | +125% |
| Q4 2025 | -$44.2M | +$1.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.2M | -149% |
| Q2 2025 | -$12.8M | -143% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3M | -91% |
| Q4 2024 | -$45.5M | -601% |
HTLD has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
HTLD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -45K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -126K shares |
| 3 years | -2.2% | -1.7M shares |
| 5 years | -2.5% | -2M shares |
| Available history | -5.6% | -4.6M shares |
HTLD has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $35,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HTLD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
HTLD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HTLD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
HTLD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HTLD PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | HTLD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
HTLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HTLD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.8 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.2 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.9 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.5 | 1.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.0 | 14% below |
HTLD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
HTLD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.9 | $18.2 | -13% |
| 2021 | $18.2 | $16.6 | -9% |
| 2022 | $16.6 | $15.8 | -4.9% |
| 2023 | $15.8 | $14.3 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $14.3 | $11.1 | -22% |
| 2025 | $11.1 | $9.20 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.20 | $10.4 | +13% |
HTLD has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.