HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over WU overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
WU
The Western Union Company
WU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
WU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
WU's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WU.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over WU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.6x | $6.65 | — |
| Cheap | 4.8x | $5.02 | -25% |
| Current | 6.3x | $6.65 | — |
| Fair | 6.8x | $7.12 | +7.1% |
| Expensive | 11x | $11.13 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WU's PE is in its fair range at 6.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x, in its cheap range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over WU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
WU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WU's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over WU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.44 | +37% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.05 | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.23 | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.36 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.30 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.65 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.69 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.74 | +63% |
WU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.05 over the past year, against $2.74 in late 2024.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over WU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over WU on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | -2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $982.7M | -0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $983.6M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +0.6% |
WU's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +1.7 points |
WU's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over WU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $99.9M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $94.6M | +$102.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $102.6M | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $115.5M | -3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $252.7M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.8M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $144.8M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.7M | -54% |
WU's free cash flow was $413M over the past year, down 19% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
WU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -2.9% | -9.3M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -61.5M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -94.5M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -111M shares |
WU has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $52.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $26.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $52.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $79.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $76.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $3.7M |
WU spent $92M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over WU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
WU's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
WU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.7 | Neutral |
WU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
WU PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | WU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.3x | 13x | 51% below |
| PE % | 42 | 63 | 21 pts below |
WU has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
WU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.31 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.96 | 4.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.17 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.77 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.5 | 37% below |
WU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 37% below its 200-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
WU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.4 | $21.9 | -20% |
| 2021 | $21.9 | $17.8 | -19% |
| 2022 | $17.8 | $13.8 | -22% |
| 2023 | $13.8 | $11.9 | -14% |
| 2024 | $11.9 | $10.7 | -10% |
| 2025 | $10.7 | $9.40 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.40 | $6.65 | -29% |
WU has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.