HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over VCTR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VCTR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

VCTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VCTR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VCTR.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over VCTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VCTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$43.06-65%
Fair11x$59.64-52%
Forward15x$124—
Expensive17x$92.20-26%
Current23x$124—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCTR's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VCTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VCTR, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VCTR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VCTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$148.28
Downside-19%$100.32

Calculated from the latest close: $124.44 on Nov 12.

VCTR trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over VCTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VCTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.47+55%
Q3 2026$5.45+39%
Q2 2026$5.45+34%
Q1 2026$4.45-1.1%
Q4 2025$4.08-6.8%
Q3 2025$3.93-2%
Q2 2025$4.06+15%
Q1 2025$4.50+38%
Q4 2024$4.38+40%

VCTR earned $5.45 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$396.6M+9.8%
Q2 2026$435.4M+24%
Q1 2026$388M+77%
Q4 2025$374.1M+61%
Q3 2025$361.2M+60%
Q2 2025$351.2M+60%
Q1 2025$219.6M+1.7%
Q4 2024$232.4M+13%

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

VCTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222.4M+35%
Q2 2026$134.2M+$141.7M
Q1 2026$120.1M+51%
Q4 2025$144.5M+58%
Q3 2025$164.8M+66%
Q2 2025-$7.5M-109%
Q1 2025$79.5M+17%
Q4 2024$91.7M-4.8%

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

VCTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-311K shares
1 year-6.7%-4.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-5.2M shares
5 years-16%-11.6M shares
Available history-15%-11M shares

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over VCTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VCTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

VCTR's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

VCTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

VCTR's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VCTR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVCTRSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %996336 pts above

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

VCTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.110% above
20 week MA$108.515% above
50 week MA$87.343% above
100 week MA$75.764% above
200 week MA$58.3114% above

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

VCTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$23.8+14%
2021$23.8$36.7+54%
2022$36.7$27.2-26%
2023$27.2$34.4+27%
2024$34.4$66.3+92%
2025$66.3$64.3-3%
2026 YTD$64.3$124.4+94%

VCTR has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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