HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

UVE has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

UVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

UVE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UVE.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

UVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.1x$48.57—
Cheap7x$55.89+15%
Fair10x$82.24+69%
Forward13x$48.57—
Expensive24x$195+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UVE has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over UVE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

UVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect UVE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UVE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$60.50
Downside-16%$40.84

Calculated from the latest close: $48.57 on Nov 12.

UVE trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over UVE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.88-51%
Q3 2026$8.00+89%
Q2 2026$7.58+231%
Q1 2026$6.75+195%
Q4 2025$6.31+217%
Q3 2025$4.24+72%
Q2 2025$2.29-19%
Q1 2025$2.29-10%
Q4 2024$1.99-9.5%

UVE earned $8.00 per share over the past year, up 89% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over UVE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.3M+9.6%
Q2 2026$427M+6.7%
Q1 2026$393.6M-0.3%
Q4 2025$407.9M+6%
Q3 2025$401M+3.5%
Q2 2025$400.1M+5.2%
Q1 2025$394.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$384.8M+2.5%

UVE's revenue is growing: $439M last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over UVE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82M+34%
Q2 2026$100.2M-4.8%
Q1 2026$153.2M-17%
Q4 2025$25M+$127.2M
Q3 2025$61.3M-24%
Q2 2025$105.2M+47%
Q1 2025$185.5M+133%
Q4 2024-$102.2M-$101.4M

UVE's free cash flow was $360M over the past year, up 44% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UVE.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over UVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+142K shares
1 year+1.3%+377K shares
3 years-1.5%-432K shares
5 years-6.9%-2.2M shares
Available history-15%-5M shares

UVE has 29M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago, despite $26M in buybacks over the past year.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

UVE Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

UVE has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

UVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

UVE's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UVE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUVESector medianRelative
PE6.1x13x53% below
PE %106353 pts below

UVE has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

UVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.54.5% above
20 week MA$44.39.5% above
50 week MA$38.526% above
100 week MA$31.753% above
200 week MA$24.698% above

UVE has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

UVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$14.8-47%
2021$14.8$16.8+14%
2022$16.8$11.0-35%
2023$11.0$16.0+46%
2024$16.0$20.6+29%
2025$20.6$33.8+64%
2026 YTD$33.8$48.6+44%

UVE has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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