HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
USB
U.S. Bancorp
USB has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
USB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
USB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like USB.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
USB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $51.43 | -15% |
| Forward | 11x | $60.47 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $60.09 | -0.6% |
| Current | 12x | $60.47 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $71.44 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
USB has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
USB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for USB, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
USB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.70 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.13 | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.01 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.77 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.62 | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.37 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.18 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.04 | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.79 | +16% |
USB has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over USB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over USB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
USB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.9B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.7B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.3B | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.3B | +6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $7B | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9B | +3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $7B | +3.7% |
USB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $7.9B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 33% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 35% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 33% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +6.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +15 points |
USB's operating margin was 35% last quarter, up 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
USB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +137% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4B | +249% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | -$285M | -111% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.8B | +1046% |
USB's free cash flow was $12.8B over the past year, up 29% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like USB.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over USB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
USB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +10M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +75M shares |
| Available history | -1.5% | -24M shares |
USB has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1M |
| Q2 2026 | $201M |
| Q1 2026 | $276M |
| Q4 2025 | $122M |
| Q3 2025 | $101M |
| Q2 2025 | $106M |
| Q1 2025 | $160M |
| Q4 2024 | $122M |
USB spent $600M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 23% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
USB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
USB has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
USB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 39.8 | Neutral |
USB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
USB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | USB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 9.4% below |
| PE % | 51 | 63 | 12 pts below |
USB has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
USB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.0 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $61.3 | 1.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $57.6 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $51.7 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $46.1 | 31% above |
USB has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
USB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.7 | $46.5 | -22% |
| 2021 | $46.5 | $56.3 | +21% |
| 2022 | $56.3 | $43.2 | -23% |
| 2023 | $43.2 | $43.3 | +0.2% |
| 2024 | $43.3 | $48.5 | +12% |
| 2025 | $48.5 | $55.0 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.0 | $60.5 | +10% |
USB has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.