USB

U.S. Bancorp

61
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

USB's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 2 points to 35%, while earnings per share grew 17%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

USB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

USB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like USB.

USB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$51.43-15%
Forward11x$60.47—
Fair12x$60.09-0.6%
Current12x$60.47—
Expensive14x$71.44+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

USB's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

USB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for USB, with profitability improving.

USB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$74.67
Downside-11%$53.87

Calculated from the latest close: $60.47 on Nov 12.

USB's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +23% against −11%.

USB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.26Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $4.04Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.62Q1 2026: $4.77Q2 2026: $5.01Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $5.70
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.26Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $4.04Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.62Q1 2026: $4.77Q2 2026: $5.01Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $5.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.70+11%
Q3 2026$5.13+17%
Q2 2026$5.01+20%
Q1 2026$4.77+18%
Q4 2025$4.62+22%
Q3 2025$4.37+34%
Q2 2025$4.18+33%
Q1 2025$4.04+34%
Q4 2024$3.79+16%

USB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.13 over the past year, up 17% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

USB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.3BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.3BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.9B+8.9%
Q2 2026$7.7B+10%
Q1 2026$7.3B+4.8%
Q4 2025$7.3B+5.1%
Q3 2025$7.3B+6.8%
Q2 2025$7B+2%
Q1 2025$6.9B+3.6%
Q4 2024$7B+3.7%

USB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $7.9B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

USB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $416MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $972MQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: −$285MQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $416MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $972MQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: −$285MQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+12%
Q2 2026$4.8B+137%
Q1 2026$1.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2025$2.8B-40%
Q3 2025$3.4B+249%
Q2 2025$2B-29%
Q1 2025-$285M-111%
Q4 2024$4.8B+1046%

USB's free cash flow was $12.8B over the past year, up 29% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like USB.

USB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+4M shares
1 year+0.1%+2M shares
3 years+0.6%+10M shares
5 years+5.1%+75M shares
Available history-1.5%-24M shares

USB has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

USB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.8xQ1 2024: -8.1xQ2 2024: -6.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -5.8xQ1 2024: -8.1xQ2 2024: -6.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

USB has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like USB.

USB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

USB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

USB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUSBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.4% below
PE %516312 pts below

USB is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

USB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.02.6% above
20 week MA$61.31.4% below
50 week MA$57.64.9% above
100 week MA$51.717% above
200 week MA$46.131% above

USB's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 31% above its 200-week average.

USB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.7$46.5-22%
2021$46.5$56.3+21%
2022$56.3$43.2-23%
2023$43.2$43.3+0.2%
2024$43.3$48.5+12%
2025$48.5$55.0+13%
2026 YTD$55.0$60.5+10%

USB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 10% so far in 2026.

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