HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation
UMBF has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
UMBF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UMBF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UMBF.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
UMBF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.7x | $133 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $135 | +0.9% |
| Current | 10x | $133 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $160 | +20% |
| Expensive | 14x | $188 | +41% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UMBF has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over UMBF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
UMBF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UMBF, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
UMBF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.71 | +2.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.37 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.17 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.43 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.29 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.83 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.70 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.95 | +5.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.99 | +25% |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over UMBF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UMBF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $772.4M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $778M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $739.2M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $720.9M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $678.3M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $689.2M | +77% |
| Q1 2025 | $563.8M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $434.2M | +17% |
UMBF's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $772M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +9.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +28 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 35% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +12 points |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
UMBF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $358.9M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $330.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $356.8M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $95.3M | +$172.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $257.8M | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $270.8M | +154% |
| Q1 2025 | $354.2M | +559% |
| Q4 2024 | -$77.1M | -195% |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over UMBF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
UMBF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +112K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +137K shares |
| 3 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| 5 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| Available history | +56% | +27.4M shares |
UMBF has 77M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $32.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $79,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $290,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $15.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
UMBF spent $38M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 116% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
UMBF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -13.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -17.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -13.6x | Net Cash |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
UMBF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.0 | Neutral |
UMBF's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UMBF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UMBF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 23% below |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
UMBF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $133.2 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $139.6 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $129.9 | 2.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $119.4 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $100.2 | 33% above |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
UMBF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $68.8 | $69.2 | +0.5% |
| 2021 | $69.2 | $105.2 | +52% |
| 2022 | $105.2 | $82.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $82.2 | $83.6 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $83.6 | $113.7 | +36% |
| 2025 | $113.7 | $118.9 | +4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.9 | $133.5 | +12% |
UMBF has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.