HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
UFCS
United Fire Group, Inc.
UFCS has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
UFCS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
UFCS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $46.41 | -9.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $51.30 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $59.07 | +15% |
| Forward | 11x | $51.30 | — |
| Expensive | 44x | $229 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UFCS has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over UFCS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
UFCS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
UFCS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.23 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.96 | +95% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.48 | +87% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.25 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.52 | +146% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.54 | +$3.23 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.39 | +$3.57 |
UFCS has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over UFCS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over UFCS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UFCS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $391.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $383.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $369.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $365.8M | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $354M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $331.1M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $333.2M | +16% |
UFCS's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $392M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +9.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.5 points |
UFCS's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over UFCS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UFCS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.1M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.2M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.8M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $60.8M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.4M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.7M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $156.4M | +603% |
UFCS's free cash flow was $312M over the past year, up 1.8% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
UFCS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +271K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -201K shares |
| 3 years | +2.3% | +587K shares |
| 5 years | +4.3% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +2.3% | +584K shares |
UFCS has 26M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $1M |
| Q2 2021 | $1M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over UFCS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UFCS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
UFCS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
UFCS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.4 | Neutral |
UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UFCS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 13x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 63 | 32 pts below |
UFCS has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
UFCS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.1 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $53.7 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.5 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.1 | 71% above |
UFCS has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
UFCS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.2 | $24.5 | -43% |
| 2021 | $24.5 | $23.3 | -4.9% |
| 2022 | $23.3 | $28.4 | +22% |
| 2023 | $28.4 | $20.1 | -29% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $28.5 | +42% |
| 2025 | $28.5 | $36.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $51.3 | +41% |
UFCS has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.