HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TWFG

TWFG, Inc. Common Stock

64
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TWFG has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

TWFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TWFG.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

TWFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$26.72—
Cheap34x$20.20-24%
Fair41x$23.99-10%
Current45x$26.72—
Expensive47x$27.74+3.8%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TWFG has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over TWFG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TWFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TWFG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TWFG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TWFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$38.30
Downside-29%$18.87

Calculated from the latest close: $26.72 on Nov 12.

TWFG trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

TWFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19
Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19

TWFG and HOOD do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over TWFG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TWFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.9M+25%
Q2 2026$87.5M+45%
Q1 2026$72.8M+35%
Q4 2025$70.3M+42%
Q3 2025$64.1M+17%
Q2 2025$60.3M+13%
Q1 2025$53.8M+20%
Q4 2024$49.5M+30%

TWFG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $80M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over TWFG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TWFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.4M-30%
Q2 2026$9.3M-2.7%
Q1 2026$22.4M+43%
Q4 2025$13.1M+50%
Q3 2025$14.9M+30%
Q1 2025$15.6M+$26.9M
Q4 2024$8.7M+$11.7M
Q3 2024$11.5M+73%

TWFG's free cash flow was $55M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

TWFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-98.7K shares
1 year-14%-2.1M shares

TWFG has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over TWFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TWFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

TWFG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TWFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic50.3Neutral

TWFG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD has the edge over TWFG on valuation relative to its sector.

TWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTWFGSector medianRelative
PE45x13x248% above
PE %702248 pts above

TWFG is trading at 45x earnings, a 248% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

TWFG has stronger trend alignment. HOOD is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus TWFG above 2 of 4.

TWFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.12.3% above
20 week MA$26.90.5% below
50 week MA$24.012% above
100 week MA$26.90.8% below

TWFG's trend is mixed: it's above two of its four weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 100-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

TWFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.6$28.9+28%
2025$28.9$29.1+0.7%
2026 YTD$29.1$26.7-8.2%

TWFG has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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