TWFG

TWFG, Inc. Common Stock

64
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TWFG's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 36% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 17%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TWFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TWFG.

TWFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$26.72—
Cheap34x$20.20-24%
Fair41x$23.99-10%
Current45x$26.72—
Expensive47x$27.74+3.8%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TWFG's PE is 45x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TWFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TWFG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TWFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$38.30
Downside-29%$18.87

Calculated from the latest close: $26.72 on Nov 12.

TWFG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +43% against −29%.

TWFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19
Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19

TWFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.9M+25%
Q2 2026$87.5M+45%
Q1 2026$72.8M+35%
Q4 2025$70.3M+42%
Q3 2025$64.1M+17%
Q2 2025$60.3M+13%
Q1 2025$53.8M+20%
Q4 2024$49.5M+30%

TWFG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $80M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

TWFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.4M-30%
Q2 2026$9.3M-2.7%
Q1 2026$22.4M+43%
Q4 2025$13.1M+50%
Q3 2025$14.9M+30%
Q1 2025$15.6M+$26.9M
Q4 2024$8.7M+$11.7M
Q3 2024$11.5M+73%

TWFG's free cash flow was $55M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.

TWFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-98.7K shares
1 year-14%-2.1M shares

TWFG has 13M diluted shares, down 14% from a year ago.

TWFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

TWFG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.

TWFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic50.3Neutral

TWFG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

TWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTWFGSector medianRelative
PE45x13x248% above
PE %702248 pts above

TWFG is trading at 45x earnings, a 248% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

TWFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.12.3% above
20 week MA$26.90.5% below
50 week MA$24.012% above
100 week MA$26.90.8% below

TWFG's trend is mixed: it's above two of its four weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 100-week average.

TWFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.6$28.9+28%
2025$28.9$29.1+0.7%
2026 YTD$29.1$26.7-8.2%

TWFG has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 8.2% so far in 2026.

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