HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over TRIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TRIN

Trinity Capital Inc.

40
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TRIN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

TRIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

TRIN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRIN.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over TRIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TRIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.3x$9.73-46%
Fair7.1x$13.17-26%
Forward8.6x$17.87—
Expensive8.9x$16.54-7.5%
Current9.7x$17.87—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRIN's PE is in its expensive range at 9.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.6x.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over TRIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

TRIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TRIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$19.79
Downside-14%$15.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.87 on Nov 12.

TRIN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over TRIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.09+13%
Q3 2026$1.85-17%
Q2 2026$1.75-23%
Q1 2026$1.89-15%
Q4 2025$1.96-6.7%
Q3 2025$2.23+32%
Q2 2025$2.27+37%
Q1 2025$2.23+40%
Q4 2024$2.10+11%

TRIN earned $1.85 per share over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over TRIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1M+43%
Q2 2026$1.1M-27%
Q1 2026$900K-40%
Q4 2025$1.2M-29%
Q3 2025$700K-56%
Q2 2025$1.5M0%
Q1 2025$1.5M-63%
Q4 2024$1.7M-35%

TRIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over TRIN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TRIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.3M+$117.3M
Q2 2026-$198.6M-$75.1M
Q1 2026-$45.8M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$165M-996%
Q3 2025-$183.6M+$48.4M
Q2 2025-$123.5M-$101.6M
Q1 2025-$63.3M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$18.4M+$154.8M

TRIN's free cash flow was −$476M over the past year, against −$352M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRIN.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over TRIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TRIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+4.6M shares
1 year+33%+23.6M shares
3 years+117%+51.3M shares

TRIN has 95M diluted shares, up 33% from a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

TRIN Net Leverage

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TRIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

TRIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TRIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRINSector medianRelative
PE9.7x13x26% below
PE %956233 pts above

TRIN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

TRIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.24% above
20 week MA$17.61.5% above
50 week MA$16.58.2% above
100 week MA$15.813% above
200 week MA$14.920% above

TRIN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

TRIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.0$17.3+15%
2022$17.3$11.7-33%
2023$11.7$14.5+25%
2024$14.5$14.8+1.8%
2025$14.8$15.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$15.2$17.9+18%

TRIN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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