HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TFSL

TFS Financial Corporation

63
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

TFSL has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

TFSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TFSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TFSL.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

TFSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward43x$16.38—
Cheap45x$16.07-1.9%
Current46x$16.38—
Fair50x$18.02+10%
Expensive63x$22.77+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFSL has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TFSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFSL, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TFSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TFSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$19.66
Downside-10%$14.82

Calculated from the latest close: $16.38 on Nov 12.

TFSL trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

TFSL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Forward: $0.38
Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Forward: $0.38

TFSL and HOOD do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over TFSL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFSL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $75MQ4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $89M
Q3 2023: $75MQ4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $89M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$89.3M+8.8%
Q1 2026$85.2M+7.7%
Q4 2025$83.7M+12%
Q3 2025$85.5M+14%
Q2 2025$82M+8.6%
Q1 2025$79.1M+2.6%
Q4 2024$74.8M-0.8%
Q3 2024$75.1M-0.4%

TFSL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $89M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

TFSL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29M+16%
Q1 2026$13.4M-6.2%
Q4 2025$57.1M+27%
Q3 2025-$13.2M+$46.1M
Q2 2025$25M-74%
Q1 2025$14.3M+6.6%
Q4 2024$44.9M+26%
Q3 2024-$59.4M-565%

TFSL's free cash flow was $86M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFSL.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over TFSL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TFSL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 279MQ4 2023: 279MQ1 2024: 279MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 280MQ1 2025: 280MQ2 2025: 280MQ3 2025: 280MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 280M
Q3 2023: 279MQ4 2023: 279MQ1 2024: 279MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 280MQ1 2025: 280MQ2 2025: 280MQ3 2025: 280MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 280M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+242K shares
1 year+0.1%+303K shares
3 years+0.6%+1.6M shares
5 years+0.4%+1.2M shares
Available history+1%+2.8M shares

TFSL has 280M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over TFSL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TFSL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 43.1xQ4 2023: 40.8xQ1 2024: 37.7xQ2 2024: 35.7xQ3 2024: 36.3xQ4 2024: 34.3xQ1 2025: 33.3xQ2 2025: 34.9xQ3 2025: 32.2xQ4 2025: 32.3xQ1 2026: 33.0xQ2 2026: 33.9x
Q3 2023: 43.1xQ4 2023: 40.8xQ1 2024: 37.7xQ2 2024: 35.7xQ3 2024: 36.3xQ4 2024: 34.3xQ1 2025: 33.3xQ2 2025: 34.9xQ3 2025: 32.2xQ4 2025: 32.3xQ1 2026: 33.0xQ2 2026: 33.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202633.9xHigh
Q1 202633.0xHigh
Q4 202532.3xHigh
Q3 202532.2xHigh
Q2 202534.9xHigh
Q1 202533.3xHigh
Q4 202434.3xHigh
Q3 202436.3xHigh

TFSL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFSL.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TFSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

TFSL's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD has the edge over TFSL on valuation relative to its sector.

TFSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTFSLSector medianRelative
PE46x13x249% above
PE %246339 pts below

TFSL is trading at 46x earnings, a 249% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

TFSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.50.5% below
20 week MA$17.24.8% below
50 week MA$15.74.1% above
100 week MA$14.414% above
200 week MA$13.819% above

TFSL has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

TFSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$17.7-9.8%
2021$17.7$17.7+0.2%
2022$17.7$14.2-20%
2023$14.2$14.7+3.7%
2024$14.7$12.6-14%
2025$12.6$14.0+11%
2026 YTD$14.0$16.4+17%

TFSL has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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