TFSL

TFS Financial Corporation

63
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

TFSL's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 4 points to 38% and revenue grew 10%. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 50x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TFSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TFSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TFSL.

TFSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward43x$16.38—
Cheap45x$16.07-1.9%
Current46x$16.38—
Fair50x$18.02+10%
Expensive63x$22.77+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFSL's PE is in its cheap range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 43x next year's earnings.

TFSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFSL, with profitability improving.

TFSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$19.66
Downside-10%$14.82

Calculated from the latest close: $16.38 on Nov 12.

TFSL's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +20% against −9.5%.

TFSL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.26Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.26Q2 2024: $0.27Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Forward: $0.38
Q3 2023: $0.26Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.26Q2 2024: $0.27Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38+6.9%
Q2 2026$0.36+20%
Q1 2026$0.33+14%
Q4 2025$0.32+10%
Q3 2025$0.32+14%
Q2 2025$0.30+11%
Q1 2025$0.29+12%
Q4 2024$0.29+16%
Q3 2024$0.28+7.7%

TFSL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.36 over the past year, up 20% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

TFSL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $75MQ4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $89M
Q3 2023: $75MQ4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $89M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$89.3M+8.8%
Q1 2026$85.2M+7.7%
Q4 2025$83.7M+12%
Q3 2025$85.5M+14%
Q2 2025$82M+8.6%
Q1 2025$79.1M+2.6%
Q4 2024$74.8M-0.8%
Q3 2024$75.1M-0.4%

TFSL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $89M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

TFSL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29M+16%
Q1 2026$13.4M-6.2%
Q4 2025$57.1M+27%
Q3 2025-$13.2M+$46.1M
Q2 2025$25M-74%
Q1 2025$14.3M+6.6%
Q4 2024$44.9M+26%
Q3 2024-$59.4M-565%

TFSL's free cash flow was $86M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFSL.

TFSL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 279MQ4 2023: 279MQ1 2024: 279MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 280MQ1 2025: 280MQ2 2025: 280MQ3 2025: 280MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 280M
Q3 2023: 279MQ4 2023: 279MQ1 2024: 279MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 280MQ1 2025: 280MQ2 2025: 280MQ3 2025: 280MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 280M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+242K shares
1 year+0.1%+303K shares
3 years+0.6%+1.6M shares
5 years+0.4%+1.2M shares
Available history+1%+2.8M shares

TFSL has 280M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TFSL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 43.1xQ4 2023: 40.8xQ1 2024: 37.7xQ2 2024: 35.7xQ3 2024: 36.3xQ4 2024: 34.3xQ1 2025: 33.3xQ2 2025: 34.9xQ3 2025: 32.2xQ4 2025: 32.3xQ1 2026: 33.0xQ2 2026: 33.9x
Q3 2023: 43.1xQ4 2023: 40.8xQ1 2024: 37.7xQ2 2024: 35.7xQ3 2024: 36.3xQ4 2024: 34.3xQ1 2025: 33.3xQ2 2025: 34.9xQ3 2025: 32.2xQ4 2025: 32.3xQ1 2026: 33.0xQ2 2026: 33.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202633.9xHigh
Q1 202633.0xHigh
Q4 202532.3xHigh
Q3 202532.2xHigh
Q2 202534.9xHigh
Q1 202533.3xHigh
Q4 202434.3xHigh
Q3 202436.3xHigh

TFSL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFSL.

TFSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

TFSL's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TFSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTFSLSector medianRelative
PE46x13x249% above
PE %246339 pts below

TFSL is trading at 46x earnings, a 249% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TFSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.50.5% below
20 week MA$17.24.8% below
50 week MA$15.74.1% above
100 week MA$14.414% above
200 week MA$13.819% above

TFSL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 19% above its 200-week average.

TFSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$17.7-9.8%
2021$17.7$17.7+0.2%
2022$17.7$14.2-20%
2023$14.2$14.7+3.7%
2024$14.7$12.6-14%
2025$12.6$14.0+11%
2026 YTD$14.0$16.4+17%

TFSL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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