HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STT
State Street Corporation
STT has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
STT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
STT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $122 | -30% |
| Forward | 12x | $174 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $153 | -12% |
| Current | 14x | $174 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $183 | +5.6% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STT has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STT, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
STT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.95 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.24 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.33 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.85 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.40 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.42 | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.90 | +65% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.88 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.21 | +47% |
STT has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over STT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over STT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +7.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.5B | +6.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.4B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | +12% |
STT's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | -3.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +22 points |
STT's operating margin was 35% last quarter, up 3.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over STT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
STT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | -75% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3B | +$5.8B |
| Q1 2026 | -$12.4B | -672% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.8B | +$17.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $7.7B | +210% |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.8B | -$903M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.7B | -299% |
STT's free cash flow was −$3.7B over the past year, against −$6.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STT.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
STT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -8.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -38M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -74.2M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -94.4M shares |
STT has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $400M |
| Q1 2026 | $400M |
| Q4 2025 | $400M |
| Q3 2025 | $400M |
| Q2 2025 | $300M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $550M |
STT spent $1.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
STT Net Leverage
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
STT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.4 | Neutral |
STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
STT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | STT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 9% above |
| PE % | 75 | 63 | 12 pts above |
STT has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
STT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $171.9 | 1.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $180.3 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $155.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $129.0 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $103.2 | 68% above |
STT has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
STT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $80.1 | $71.8 | -10% |
| 2021 | $71.8 | $93.0 | +30% |
| 2022 | $93.0 | $77.5 | -17% |
| 2023 | $77.5 | $77.5 | 0% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $98.6 | +27% |
| 2025 | $98.6 | $132.3 | +34% |
| 2026 YTD | $132.3 | $173.7 | +31% |
STT has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.