STT

State Street Corporation

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

STT's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 13% and earnings per share grew 30%. At 14x earnings, it's trading above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

STT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.

STT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$122-30%
Forward12x$174—
Fair13x$153-12%
Current14x$174—
Expensive15x$183+5.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STT, with profitability improving.

STT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$216.07
Downside-9%$158.61

Calculated from the latest close: $173.70 on Nov 12.

STT's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +24% against −8.7%.

STT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.95+22%
Q3 2026$12.24+30%
Q2 2026$11.33+27%
Q1 2026$9.85+11%
Q4 2025$9.40+14%
Q3 2025$9.42+47%
Q2 2025$8.90+65%
Q1 2025$8.88+64%
Q4 2024$8.21+47%

STT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.24 over the past year, up 30% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

STT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+13%
Q2 2026$4B+17%
Q1 2026$3.8B+16%
Q4 2025$3.7B+7.4%
Q3 2025$3.5B+6.1%
Q2 2025$3.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.7%
Q4 2024$3.4B+12%

STT's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

STT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-75%
Q2 2026-$3B+$5.8B
Q1 2026-$12.4B-672%
Q4 2025$9.8B+$17.5B
Q3 2025$7.7B+210%
Q2 2025-$8.8B-$903M
Q1 2025$2.2B+$3.2B
Q4 2024-$7.7B-299%

STT's free cash flow was −$3.7B over the past year, against −$6.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STT.

STT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years-12%-38M shares
5 years-21%-74.2M shares
Available history-25%-94.4M shares

STT has 279M diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $1.6B in buybacks over the past year.

STT Net Leverage

STT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSTTSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9% above
PE %756312 pts above

STT is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.91.1% above
20 week MA$180.33.6% below
50 week MA$155.212% above
100 week MA$129.035% above
200 week MA$103.268% above

STT's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 68% above its 200-week average.

STT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.1$71.8-10%
2021$71.8$93.0+30%
2022$93.0$77.5-17%
2023$77.5$77.50%
2024$77.5$98.6+27%
2025$98.6$132.3+34%
2026 YTD$132.3$173.7+31%

STT is up 31% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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