HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has a slight edge over SRCE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SRCE

1st Source Corporation

59
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SRCE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

SRCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SRCE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SRCE.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

SRCE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$70.88-20%
Fair11x$78.05-12%
Expensive12x$90.07+2.1%
Current12x$88.25—
Forward12x$88.25—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SRCE has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over SRCE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

SRCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SRCE, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SRCE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SRCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$106.18
Downside-12%$77.37

Calculated from the latest close: $88.25 on Nov 12.

SRCE trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

SRCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.59+4.2%
Q3 2026$7.28+21%
Q2 2026$6.96+22%
Q1 2026$6.52+15%
Q4 2025$6.41+20%
Q3 2025$6.01+14%
Q2 2025$5.71+11%
Q1 2025$5.69+14%
Q4 2024$5.36+6.6%

SRCE has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over SRCE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SRCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$120.3M+8.7%
Q2 2026$118.2M+9.2%
Q1 2026$113.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$110.8M+13%
Q3 2025$110.7M+13%
Q2 2025$108.2M+11%
Q1 2025$104M+11%
Q4 2024$97.8M+7%

SRCE's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $120M last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over SRCE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SRCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.1M+46%
Q2 2026$49.3M+15%
Q1 2026$58.1M-16%
Q4 2025$53.5M+98%
Q3 2025$47.3M-29%
Q2 2025$43M-7.3%
Q1 2025$69.3M+67%
Q4 2024$27M-34%

SRCE's free cash flow was $230M over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SRCE.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

SRCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+9.9K shares
1 year-1.6%-389K shares
3 years-2.3%-577K shares
5 years-3.4%-837K shares
Available history-5.9%-1.5M shares

SRCE has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over SRCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SRCE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

SRCE's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SRCE.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SRCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic55.9Neutral

SRCE's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SRCE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSRCESector medianRelative
PE12x13x6.9% below
PE %796316 pts above

SRCE has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

SRCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$86.61.9% above
20 week MA$86.22.4% above
50 week MA$76.615% above
100 week MA$68.728% above
200 week MA$59.748% above

SRCE has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

SRCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.0$39.9-23%
2021$39.9$48.4+21%
2022$48.4$54.3+12%
2023$54.3$55.0+1.3%
2024$55.0$58.6+6.7%
2025$58.6$64.0+9.1%
2026 YTD$64.0$88.3+38%

SRCE has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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