SRCE

1st Source Corporation

59
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SRCE's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 5 points to 50% and revenue grew 9.9%. At 12x earnings, it's trading above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SRCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SRCE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SRCE.

SRCE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$70.88-20%
Fair11x$78.05-12%
Expensive12x$90.07+2.1%
Current12x$88.25—
Forward12x$88.25—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SRCE's PE is in its expensive range at 12.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.6x next year's earnings.

SRCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SRCE, with profitability improving.

SRCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$106.18
Downside-12%$77.37

Calculated from the latest close: $88.25 on Nov 12.

SRCE's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +20% against −12%.

SRCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.59+4.2%
Q3 2026$7.28+21%
Q2 2026$6.96+22%
Q1 2026$6.52+15%
Q4 2025$6.41+20%
Q3 2025$6.01+14%
Q2 2025$5.71+11%
Q1 2025$5.69+14%
Q4 2024$5.36+6.6%

SRCE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.28 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

SRCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$120.3M+8.7%
Q2 2026$118.2M+9.2%
Q1 2026$113.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$110.8M+13%
Q3 2025$110.7M+13%
Q2 2025$108.2M+11%
Q1 2025$104M+11%
Q4 2024$97.8M+7%

SRCE's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $120M last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

SRCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.1M+46%
Q2 2026$49.3M+15%
Q1 2026$58.1M-16%
Q4 2025$53.5M+98%
Q3 2025$47.3M-29%
Q2 2025$43M-7.3%
Q1 2025$69.3M+67%
Q4 2024$27M-34%

SRCE's free cash flow was $230M over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SRCE.

SRCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+9.9K shares
1 year-1.6%-389K shares
3 years-2.3%-577K shares
5 years-3.4%-837K shares
Available history-5.9%-1.5M shares

SRCE has 24M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $28M in buybacks over the past year.

SRCE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

SRCE's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SRCE.

SRCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic55.9Neutral

SRCE's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

SRCE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSRCESector medianRelative
PE12x13x6.9% below
PE %796316 pts above

SRCE is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SRCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$86.61.9% above
20 week MA$86.22.4% above
50 week MA$76.615% above
100 week MA$68.728% above
200 week MA$59.748% above

SRCE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 48% above its 200-week average.

SRCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.0$39.9-23%
2021$39.9$48.4+21%
2022$48.4$54.3+12%
2023$54.3$55.0+1.3%
2024$55.0$58.6+6.7%
2025$58.6$64.0+9.1%
2026 YTD$64.0$88.3+38%

SRCE has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 38% so far in 2026.

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