HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over SLM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SLM

SLM Corporation

41
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SLM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

SLM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SLM's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SLM.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

SLM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.3x$14.65-12%
Current6x$16.59—
Forward6.6x$16.59—
Fair7.1x$19.45+17%
Expensive9.6x$26.38+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SLM has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over SLM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

SLM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SLM's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SLM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SLM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$19.90
Downside-22%$12.95

Calculated from the latest close: $16.59 on Nov 12.

SLM trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over SLM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SLM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.20Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.87Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.81Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.60Q2 2026: $3.57Q3 2026: $2.75Forward: $2.52
Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.20Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.87Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.81Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.60Q2 2026: $3.57Q3 2026: $2.75Forward: $2.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.52-8.2%
Q3 2026$2.75-4.5%
Q2 2026$3.57+77%
Q1 2026$3.60+28%
Q4 2025$3.46+29%
Q3 2025$2.88+0.3%
Q2 2025$2.02-37%
Q1 2025$2.81-12%
Q4 2024$2.68+12%

SLM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.75 over the past year, against $3.77 in mid-2021.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over SLM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SLM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $561MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $384MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $581MQ2 2025: $404MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $454MQ1 2026: $560MQ2 2026: $401MQ3 2026: $375M
Q4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $561MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $384MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $581MQ2 2025: $404MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $454MQ1 2026: $560MQ2 2026: $401MQ3 2026: $375M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$375.5M-31%
Q2 2026$401.1M-0.6%
Q1 2026$560M-3.6%
Q4 2025$454.1M+16%
Q3 2025$545.7M+42%
Q2 2025$403.6M-21%
Q1 2025$581M+3.5%
Q4 2024$390M-12%

SLM's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $375M last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over SLM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SLM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$77MQ2 2024: −$144MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$146MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: −$135MQ3 2026: −$106M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$77MQ2 2024: −$144MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$146MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: −$135MQ3 2026: −$106M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$106.4M-$57M
Q2 2026-$134.8M+$3.9M
Q1 2026-$76M+$70.1M
Q4 2025-$64.5M-1520%
Q3 2025-$49.3M+$64.1M
Q2 2025-$138.7M+$5.1M
Q1 2025-$146.1M-$69.3M
Q4 2024$4.5M+$31.7M

SLM's free cash flow was −$382M over the past year, against −$330M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SLM.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

SLM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 224MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 211MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 186M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 224MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 211MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 186M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-4.8M shares
1 year-12%-25M shares
3 years-19%-43.2M shares
5 years-39%-119M shares
Available history-57%-245M shares

SLM has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over SLM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SLM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

SLM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SLM.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SLM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI25.5Oversold
Stochastic2.4Oversold

SLM's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SLM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSLMSector medianRelative
PE6x13x54% below
PE %276336 pts below

SLM has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over SLM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SLM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.218% below
20 week MA$23.730% below
50 week MA$23.830% below
100 week MA$26.738% below
200 week MA$22.526% below

SLM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD has the edge over SLM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SLM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.99$12.3+36%
2021$12.3$19.1+56%
2022$19.1$16.5-14%
2023$16.5$19.1+16%
2024$19.1$27.9+46%
2025$27.9$27.5-1.3%
2026 YTD$27.5$16.6-40%

SLM is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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