SLM

SLM Corporation

41
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SLM's fundamentals are mixed. At 6.0x earnings, it's trading below its usual 7.1x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

SLM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SLM's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SLM.

SLM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.3x$14.65-12%
Current6x$16.59—
Forward6.6x$16.59—
Fair7.1x$19.45+17%
Expensive9.6x$26.38+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SLM's PE is in its cheap range at 6.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 6.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SLM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SLM's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SLM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$19.90
Downside-22%$12.95

Calculated from the latest close: $16.59 on Nov 12.

SLM's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +20% against −22%.

SLM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.20Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.87Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.81Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.60Q2 2026: $3.57Q3 2026: $2.75Forward: $2.52
Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.20Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.87Q4 2024: $2.68Q1 2025: $2.81Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.60Q2 2026: $3.57Q3 2026: $2.75Forward: $2.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.52-8.2%
Q3 2026$2.75-4.5%
Q2 2026$3.57+77%
Q1 2026$3.60+28%
Q4 2025$3.46+29%
Q3 2025$2.88+0.3%
Q2 2025$2.02-37%
Q1 2025$2.81-12%
Q4 2024$2.68+12%

SLM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.75 over the past year, against $3.77 in mid-2021.

SLM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $561MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $384MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $581MQ2 2025: $404MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $454MQ1 2026: $560MQ2 2026: $401MQ3 2026: $375M
Q4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $561MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $384MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $581MQ2 2025: $404MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $454MQ1 2026: $560MQ2 2026: $401MQ3 2026: $375M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$375.5M-31%
Q2 2026$401.1M-0.6%
Q1 2026$560M-3.6%
Q4 2025$454.1M+16%
Q3 2025$545.7M+42%
Q2 2025$403.6M-21%
Q1 2025$581M+3.5%
Q4 2024$390M-12%

SLM's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $375M last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

SLM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$77MQ2 2024: −$144MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$146MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: −$135MQ3 2026: −$106M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$77MQ2 2024: −$144MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$146MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: −$135MQ3 2026: −$106M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$106.4M-$57M
Q2 2026-$134.8M+$3.9M
Q1 2026-$76M+$70.1M
Q4 2025-$64.5M-1520%
Q3 2025-$49.3M+$64.1M
Q2 2025-$138.7M+$5.1M
Q1 2025-$146.1M-$69.3M
Q4 2024$4.5M+$31.7M

SLM's free cash flow was −$382M over the past year, against −$330M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SLM.

SLM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 224MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 211MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 186M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 224MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 211MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 186M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-4.8M shares
1 year-12%-25M shares
3 years-19%-43.2M shares
5 years-39%-119M shares
Available history-57%-245M shares

SLM has 186M diluted shares, down 12% from a year ago, with $545M in buybacks over the past year.

SLM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

SLM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SLM.

SLM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI25.5Oversold
Stochastic2.4Oversold

SLM's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

SLM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSLMSector medianRelative
PE6x13x54% below
PE %276336 pts below

SLM is trading at 6.0x earnings, a 54% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SLM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.218% below
20 week MA$23.730% below
50 week MA$23.830% below
100 week MA$26.738% below
200 week MA$22.526% below

SLM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

SLM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.99$12.3+36%
2021$12.3$19.1+56%
2022$19.1$16.5-14%
2023$16.5$19.1+16%
2024$19.1$27.9+46%
2025$27.9$27.5-1.3%
2026 YTD$27.5$16.6-40%

SLM is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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