HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
SIGI has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
SIGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SIGI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SIGI.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
SIGI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $98.60 | -4.6% |
| Current | 12x | $103 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $103 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $140 | +36% |
| Expensive | 24x | $202 | +95% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIGI has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over SIGI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SIGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SIGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over SIGI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SIGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.96 | +7.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.32 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.06 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.31 | +99% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.49 | +132% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.50 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.12 | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.68 | -35% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.23 | -45% |
SIGI earned $8.32 per share over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over SIGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over SIGI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +5.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +13% |
SIGI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.3B last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.1% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.5% | -4.7 points |
SIGI's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
SIGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $347M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $214.9M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $210.5M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $366.3M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $397.3M | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $159.7M | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | $271M | +151% |
| Q4 2024 | $324.7M | +42% |
SIGI's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, down 1.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SIGI.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
SIGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -329K shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | -1.9% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -0.4% | -271K shares |
| Available history | -0.3% | -151K shares |
SIGI has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $35M |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $36.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $258,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $81,000 |
SIGI spent $153M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 147% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over SIGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SIGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
SIGI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SIGI.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
SIGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.0 | Overbought |
SIGI's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SIGI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SIGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 4.6% below |
| PE % | 23 | 63 | 40 pts below |
SIGI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
SIGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $92.9 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $93.5 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $87.8 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $86.1 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $92.1 | 12% above |
SIGI has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
SIGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.8 | $66.9 | +3.2% |
| 2021 | $66.9 | $79.6 | +19% |
| 2022 | $79.6 | $90.9 | +14% |
| 2023 | $90.9 | $99.5 | +9.5% |
| 2024 | $99.5 | $93.8 | -5.7% |
| 2025 | $93.8 | $84.0 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $84.0 | $103.4 | +23% |
SIGI has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.