HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over SFNC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SFNC
Simmons First National Corporation
SFNC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
SFNC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over SFNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SFNC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.4x | $13.58 | -42% |
| Forward | 10x | $23.39 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $18.91 | -19% |
| Current | 15x | $23.39 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $25.35 | +8.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SFNC's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over SFNC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SFNC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
SFNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 10% for HOOD versus SFNC up 58%.
SFNC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.27 | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | +6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.16 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.21 | -12% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.02 | -44% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.19 | -43% |
| Q1 2024 | $1.33 | -28% |
| Q4 2023 | $1.38 | -33% |
| Q3 2023 | $1.83 | 0% |
SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
SFNC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for HOOD versus up 17% for SFNC.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SFNC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $248.6M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $241.4M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $249M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.2M | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $209.6M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $208.5M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $174.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2024 | $197.2M | -5.3% |
SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 1,003% versus its history, compared with SFNC at up 4.5%.
SFNC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $125.5M | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $34M | +50% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $66.3M | -8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.6M | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $72.3M | -83% |
| Q3 2024 | $187.7M | +$234M |
| Q2 2024 | $72.7M | +40% |
SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over SFNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
SFNC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -270K shares |
| 1 year | +15% | +18.6M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +17.7M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +36.2M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +46.3M shares |
SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $323,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $20M |
| Q2 2023 | $20M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
SFNC Net Leverage
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
SFNC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.2 | Neutral |
SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SFNC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 12% above |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
SFNC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
SFNC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.0 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.1 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $21.5 | 8.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $20.7 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.9 | 18% above |
SFNC has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
SFNC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.8 | $21.1 | -21% |
| 2021 | $21.1 | $29.3 | +39% |
| 2022 | $29.3 | $21.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $21.5 | $19.8 | -7.7% |
| 2024 | $19.8 | $22.4 | +13% |
| 2025 | $22.4 | $19.2 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.2 | $23.4 | +22% |
SFNC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.