HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over RWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RWAY

Runway Growth Finance Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

RWAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

RWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over RWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$6.66—
Cheap6.4x$1.02-85%
Fair11x$1.76-74%
Expensive15x$2.45-63%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over RWAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RWAY, but weaker profitability.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RWAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$8.69
Downside-23%$5.14

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

RWAY trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over RWAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+745%
Q3 2026$0.16-89%
Q2 2026$0.12-94%
Q1 2026-$0.08-105%
Q4 2025$0.93-51%
Q3 2025$1.45+41%
Q2 2025$1.88+151%
Q1 2025$1.64+50%
Q4 2024$1.89+73%

RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for HOOD versus down 64% for RWAY.

RWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$3.2M-64%
Q1 2022$5.7M-49%
Q4 2021$20.9M-6.4%
Q3 2021$13.1M+7.2%
Q2 2021$9M-39%
Q1 2021$11.3M+267%

RWAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3M last quarter, down 64% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over RWAY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.2M+63%
Q2 2026-$194.3M-$194.1M
Q1 2026$5.9M-92%
Q4 2025$20.6M+49%
Q3 2025$92.4M+257%
Q2 2025-$297K+$38.3M
Q1 2025$73.6M+7.2%
Q4 2024$13.9M+$75.5M

RWAY's free cash flow was −$18M over the past year, against $180M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over RWAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-188K shares
1 year+16%+5.7M shares
3 years+3.4%+1.4M shares
5 years+26%+8.7M shares
Available history+1.2%+506K shares

RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

RWAY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20225.4xHigh
Q1 20223.1xElevated
Q4 20211.5xHealthy
Q3 20211.7xHealthy
Q2 20212.4xModerate
Q1 20212.5xModerate

RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD has the edge over RWAY on valuation relative to its sector.

RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRWAYSector medianRelative
PE42x13x220% above
PE %946430 pts above

RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

RWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.551.7% above
20 week MA$6.335.2% above
50 week MA$7.065.7% below
100 week MA$8.7424% below
200 week MA$10.436% below

RWAY has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

RWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.5$13.4+7.3%
2022$13.4$12.2-9.4%
2023$12.2$12.6+3.6%
2024$12.6$10.9-13%
2025$10.9$8.93-18%
2026 YTD$8.93$6.66-25%

RWAY has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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