HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over RLI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

RLI

RLI Corp.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RLI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

RLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RLI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RLI.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over RLI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$51.93-25%
Current16x$69.12—
Fair19x$81.55+18%
Forward25x$69.12—
Expensive31x$134+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RLI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its expensive range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over RLI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

RLI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RLI's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RLI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.71
Downside-22%$53.64

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

RLI trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over RLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73-36%
Q3 2026$4.30+13%
Q2 2026$4.77+37%
Q1 2026$4.29+41%
Q4 2025$4.37+17%
Q3 2025$3.81-16%
Q2 2025$3.49-4.6%
Q1 2025$3.04-16%
Q4 2024$3.74+13%

RLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.30 over the past year, against $7.79 in mid-2023.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over RLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$477M-6.3%
Q2 2026$575.6M+15%
Q1 2026$423.9M+4%
Q4 2025$465.7M+6.1%
Q3 2025$509.3M+8.4%
Q2 2025$499.8M+20%
Q1 2025$407.7M-8.4%
Q4 2024$439.1M+1.3%

RLI's revenue is growing: $477M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

RLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$192.4M+8.2%
Q2 2026$142.4M-18%
Q1 2026$41.8M-59%
Q4 2025$155M+21%
Q3 2025$177.8M-19%
Q2 2025$173.4M+25%
Q1 2025$102.5M+47%
Q4 2024$127.6M+4.9%

RLI's free cash flow was $532M over the past year, down 8.6% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RLI.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over RLI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+91K shares
1 year-0.1%-59K shares
3 years+0.1%+121K shares
5 years+1%+873K shares
Available history+1.9%+1.7M shares

RLI has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

RLI Net Leverage

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic82.5Overbought

RLI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRLISector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %276336 pts below

RLI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

RLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.012% above
20 week MA$62.211% above
50 week MA$59.616% above
100 week MA$65.55.5% above
200 week MA$68.11.5% above

RLI has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

RLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$51.9+16%
2021$51.9$54.7+5.4%
2022$54.7$66.9+22%
2023$66.9$66.6-0.4%
2024$66.6$83.0+25%
2025$83.0$64.7-22%
2026 YTD$64.7$69.1+6.8%

RLI has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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