HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over QFIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.

27
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

QFIN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

QFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

QFIN's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like QFIN.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

QFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.7x$5.15—
Cheap2.6x$18.64+262%
Fair4.6x$32.73+535%
Expensive6.7x$47.38+820%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QFIN has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

QFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect QFIN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QFIN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$7.75
Downside-34%$3.41

Calculated from the latest close: $5.15 on Nov 12.

QFIN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

QFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.06-6.9%
Q1 2026$7.96+13%
Q4 2025$7.70+23%
Q3 2025$7.41+41%
Q2 2025$7.58+68%
Q1 2025$7.03+68%
Q4 2024$6.25+59%
Q3 2024$5.25+58%

QFIN earned $7.06 per share over the past year, down 6.9% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$533.7M-18%
Q1 2026$586.7M-3.7%
Q4 2025$511.6M-24%
Q3 2025$781.2M+19%
Q2 2025$649.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$609.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$672.7M-0.3%
Q3 2024$655.8M+2.1%

QFIN's revenue is shrinking: $534M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

QFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$162.8M-59%
Q1 2026$314.8M-25%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$375.4M+5.5%
Q2 2025$393.5M+34%
Q1 2025$421.1M+43%
Q4 2024$435M+28%
Q3 2024$355.9M+91%

QFIN's free cash flow was $853M over the past year, down 47% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+4.9%+6.7M shares
3 years-14%-22.8M shares
5 years-11%-18.4M shares
Available history-4.6%-6.9M shares

QFIN has 143M diluted shares, up 4.9% from a year ago, despite $707M in buybacks over the past year.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

QFIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

QFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

QFIN's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

QFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricQFINSector medianRelative
PE0.7x13x94% below
PE %06363 pts below

QFIN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8512% below
20 week MA$9.3445% below
50 week MA$13.060% below
100 week MA$24.579% below
200 week MA$22.377% below

QFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD has the edge over QFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.41$10.8+15%
2021$10.8$22.0+103%
2022$22.0$19.3-12%
2023$19.3$15.8-18%
2024$15.8$38.2+141%
2025$38.2$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$5.15-74%

QFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −48% in 2025. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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