HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has a slight edge over PLGO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
PLGO
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit
PLGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
PLGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PLGO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLGO.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over PLGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PLGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.9x | $20.62 | -28% |
| Fair | 6.8x | $23.72 | -18% |
| Forward | 7.6x | $28.83 | — |
| Current | 8.3x | $28.83 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $34.97 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLGO's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over PLGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
PLGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLGO, but weaker profitability.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
PLGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.77 | +8.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.48 | +$3.49 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.98 | +$4.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.64 | +$3.73 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.11 | +115% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.98 | -95% |
PLGO has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over PLGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over PLGO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PLGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $800.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $650M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $610.6M | -7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $600.9M | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $651.9M | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $589.3M | +9.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $658.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $673.8M | -81% |
PLGO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $801M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.2% | -16 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.1% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +25 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | +45 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.6% | -26 points |
| Q4 2024 | -21% | -78 points |
PLGO's operating margin was 9.2% last quarter, down 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over PLGO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PLGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $133.7M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | -$26.7M | +$332.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $273.6M | +$707M |
| Q4 2025 | $228.6M | +82% |
| Q3 2025 | $154.6M | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | -$359.3M | -274% |
| Q1 2025 | -$433.4M | -$397.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $125.4M | -74% |
PLGO's free cash flow was $609M over the past year, against −$513M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
PLGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | -21% | -22M shares |
| 3 years | -29% | -33.5M shares |
PLGO has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83M |
| Q2 2026 | $60.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $219.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $118.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $31.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $88.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $22.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PLGO spent $481M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over PLGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PLGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -30.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
PLGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
PLGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 91.0 | Overbought |
PLGO's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PLGO PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PLGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 64 | 46 | 18 pts above |
PLGO has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
PLGO has stronger trend alignment. HOOD is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus PLGO above 4 of 4.
PLGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $25.3 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.2 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.5 | 48% above |
PLGO is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 48% above its 100-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
PLGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $13.7 | $12.7 | -7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $17.6 | +39% |
| 2025 | $17.6 | $19.5 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $28.8 | +48% |
PLGO has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.