HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over PFSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
PFSI
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
PFSI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
PFSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PFSI's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFSI.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over PFSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PFSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.6x | $16.03 | -74% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $39.77 | -35% |
| Forward | 9.3x | $60.73 | — |
| Current | 14x | $60.73 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $80.01 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PFSI's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
PFSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PFSI's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
PFSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +46% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.45 | -52% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.28 | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.30 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.28 | +192% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.21 | +98% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.52 | +124% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.84 | +113% |
PFSI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.45 over the past year, against $22.34 in early 2021.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PFSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $468.8M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | $497M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $545M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $538M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $632.9M | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $444.7M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $430.9M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $470.1M | +30% |
PFSI's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $469M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.1% | -28 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.3% | -11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | -2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 37% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +9.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +43 points |
PFSI's operating margin was 9.1% last quarter, down 28 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
PFSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $850.3M | +$1.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | +$2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.3B | -226% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.9B | +$251.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$699.4M | -$305.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$132.6M | +$960.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +$2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.1B | -600% |
PFSI's free cash flow was −$252M over the past year, against −$1.9B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
PFSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -117K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -745K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +573K shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -12.5M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -27.2M shares |
PFSI has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $50M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $84,000 |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $26.2M |
| Q1 2023 | $45.4M |
PFSI spent $50M buying back its own shares over the past year.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PFSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 10.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 9.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 11.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 11.0x | High |
PFSI's net debt is about 17 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
PFSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.4 | Neutral |
PFSI's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PFSI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PFSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 4.8% above |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
PFSI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PFSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.6 | 2.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.3 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $89.8 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $98.3 | 38% below |
| 200 week MA | $90.4 | 33% below |
PFSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD has the edge over PFSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PFSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.9 | $65.3 | +92% |
| 2021 | $65.3 | $70.0 | +7.2% |
| 2022 | $70.0 | $56.8 | -19% |
| 2023 | $56.8 | $88.4 | +56% |
| 2024 | $88.4 | $102.1 | +16% |
| 2025 | $102.1 | $133.9 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $133.9 | $60.7 | -55% |
PFSI is down 55% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.