HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PFS

Provident Financial Services, Inc.

62
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

PFS has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

PFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

PFS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFS.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

PFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$20.68-9.8%
Forward9.1x$22.94—
Current9.6x$22.94—
Fair10x$24.58+7.1%
Expensive15x$35.05+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFS has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PFS, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$28.35
Downside-14%$19.70

Calculated from the latest close: $22.94 on Nov 12.

PFS trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over PFS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.96Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $2.53
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.96Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $2.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.53+6.1%
Q3 2026$2.38+21%
Q2 2026$2.40+36%
Q1 2026$2.35+112%
Q4 2025$2.23+112%
Q3 2025$1.96+88%
Q2 2025$1.77+67%
Q1 2025$1.11-31%
Q4 2024$1.05-39%

PFS earned $2.38 per share over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over PFS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: $226MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $239M
Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: $226MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $239M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$238.5M+7.6%
Q2 2026$234.7M+9.6%
Q1 2026$225.2M+7.9%
Q4 2025$225.7M+9.6%
Q3 2025$221.8M+5.3%
Q2 2025$214.2M+31%
Q1 2025$208.8M+82%
Q4 2024$205.9M+79%

PFS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $239M last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over PFS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.9M-50%
Q2 2026$108.6M-41%
Q1 2026$81M-7.3%
Q4 2025$64.1M-73%
Q3 2025$96.7M+42%
Q2 2025$182.6M+142%
Q1 2025$87.4M+114%
Q4 2024$240.8M+438%

PFS's free cash flow was $302M over the past year, down 50% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFS.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over PFS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PFS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+29.4K shares
1 year-0.1%-136K shares
3 years+74%+55.5M shares
5 years+70%+53.7M shares
Available history+101%+65.7M shares

PFS has 130M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over PFS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 24.2xQ1 2024: 28.1xQ2 2024: 47.4xQ3 2024: 32.5xQ4 2024: 27.4xQ1 2025: 24.0xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 13.1xQ4 2025: 12.2xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 12.8xQ3 2026: 14.7x
Q4 2023: 24.2xQ1 2024: 28.1xQ2 2024: 47.4xQ3 2024: 32.5xQ4 2024: 27.4xQ1 2025: 24.0xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 13.1xQ4 2025: 12.2xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 12.8xQ3 2026: 14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202614.7xHigh
Q2 202612.8xHigh
Q1 202614.1xHigh
Q4 202512.2xHigh
Q3 202513.1xHigh
Q2 202516.4xHigh
Q1 202524.0xHigh
Q4 202427.4xHigh

PFS's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFS.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

PFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

PFS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PFS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPFSSector medianRelative
PE9.6x13x26% below
PE %316332 pts below

PFS has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

PFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.70.9% above
20 week MA$23.42% below
50 week MA$22.42.6% above
100 week MA$20.213% above
200 week MA$18.822% above

PFS has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

PFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.6$17.9-28%
2021$17.9$24.3+36%
2022$24.3$21.4-12%
2023$21.4$18.0-16%
2024$18.0$18.9+4.7%
2025$18.9$20.4+7.9%
2026 YTD$20.4$22.9+13%

PFS has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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