PFS

Provident Financial Services, Inc.

62
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

PFS's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 3 points to 46% and revenue grew 8.6%. At 9.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

PFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

PFS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFS.

PFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$20.68-9.8%
Forward9.1x$22.94—
Current9.6x$22.94—
Fair10x$24.58+7.1%
Expensive15x$35.05+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFS's PE is in its cheap range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.

PFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PFS, with profitability improving.

PFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$28.35
Downside-14%$19.70

Calculated from the latest close: $22.94 on Nov 12.

PFS's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −14%.

PFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.96Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $2.53
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.96Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $2.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.53+6.1%
Q3 2026$2.38+21%
Q2 2026$2.40+36%
Q1 2026$2.35+112%
Q4 2025$2.23+112%
Q3 2025$1.96+88%
Q2 2025$1.77+67%
Q1 2025$1.11-31%
Q4 2024$1.05-39%

PFS earned $2.38 per share over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

PFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: $226MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $239M
Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: $226MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $239M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$238.5M+7.6%
Q2 2026$234.7M+9.6%
Q1 2026$225.2M+7.9%
Q4 2025$225.7M+9.6%
Q3 2025$221.8M+5.3%
Q2 2025$214.2M+31%
Q1 2025$208.8M+82%
Q4 2024$205.9M+79%

PFS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $239M last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

PFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.9M-50%
Q2 2026$108.6M-41%
Q1 2026$81M-7.3%
Q4 2025$64.1M-73%
Q3 2025$96.7M+42%
Q2 2025$182.6M+142%
Q1 2025$87.4M+114%
Q4 2024$240.8M+438%

PFS's free cash flow was $302M over the past year, down 50% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFS.

PFS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+29.4K shares
1 year-0.1%-136K shares
3 years+74%+55.5M shares
5 years+70%+53.7M shares
Available history+101%+65.7M shares

PFS has 130M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PFS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 24.2xQ1 2024: 28.1xQ2 2024: 47.4xQ3 2024: 32.5xQ4 2024: 27.4xQ1 2025: 24.0xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 13.1xQ4 2025: 12.2xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 12.8xQ3 2026: 14.7x
Q4 2023: 24.2xQ1 2024: 28.1xQ2 2024: 47.4xQ3 2024: 32.5xQ4 2024: 27.4xQ1 2025: 24.0xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 13.1xQ4 2025: 12.2xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 12.8xQ3 2026: 14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202614.7xHigh
Q2 202612.8xHigh
Q1 202614.1xHigh
Q4 202512.2xHigh
Q3 202513.1xHigh
Q2 202516.4xHigh
Q1 202524.0xHigh
Q4 202427.4xHigh

PFS's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFS.

PFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

PFS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

PFS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPFSSector medianRelative
PE9.6x13x26% below
PE %316332 pts below

PFS is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 26% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.70.9% above
20 week MA$23.42% below
50 week MA$22.42.6% above
100 week MA$20.213% above
200 week MA$18.822% above

PFS's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 200-week average.

PFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.6$17.9-28%
2021$17.9$24.3+36%
2022$24.3$21.4-12%
2023$21.4$18.0-16%
2024$18.0$18.9+4.7%
2025$18.9$20.4+7.9%
2026 YTD$20.4$22.9+13%

PFS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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