HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ONB
Old National Bancorp
ONB has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
ONB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ONB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ONB.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over ONB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ONB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9x | $22.15 | -11% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $24.94 | — |
| Current | 10x | $24.94 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $28.68 | +15% |
| Expensive | 14x | $34.10 | +37% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ONB's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over ONB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ONB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ONB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over ONB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ONB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.45 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.25 | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.94 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.79 | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.71 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.69 | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.68 | -13% |
ONB earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over ONB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ONB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $712.7M | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $732.6M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $690.6M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $705.1M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $647.3M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $481.4M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $489.9M | +5.5% |
ONB's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $713M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +4.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -8.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 38% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +1.7 points |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
ONB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $373.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $275.9M | +330% |
| Q1 2026 | $193.3M | +89% |
| Q4 2025 | $137.3M | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $333.6M | +188% |
| Q2 2025 | $64.1M | -58% |
| Q1 2025 | $102.4M | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $229M | +266% |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
ONB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -9.6M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +89.2M shares |
| 5 years | +130% | +215M shares |
| Available history | +124% | +211M shares |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $115.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $104.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $8M |
| Q1 2025 | $13.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $139,000 |
ONB spent $345M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over ONB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ONB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
ONB's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ONB.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
ONB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.1 | Neutral |
ONB's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ONB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ONB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 22% below |
| PE % | 28 | 63 | 35 pts below |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
ONB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.0 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.7 | 3.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.4 | 2.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.0 | 8.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 26% above |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
ONB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $16.6 | -9.3% |
| 2021 | $16.6 | $17.9 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $17.9 | $17.8 | -0.7% |
| 2023 | $17.8 | $16.9 | -5% |
| 2024 | $16.9 | $21.8 | +29% |
| 2025 | $21.8 | $23.0 | +5.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.0 | $24.9 | +8.5% |
ONB has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.