HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OBT
Orange County Bancorp, Inc.
OBT has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
OBT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OBT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBT.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
OBT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $33.19 | -17% |
| Fair | 10x | $37.40 | -6.2% |
| Current | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $43.61 | +9.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OBT has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over OBT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
OBT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OBT, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over OBT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OBT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.65 | -2.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.74 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.56 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.41 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.02 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.56 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.42 | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.47 | -5.7% |
OBT earned $3.74 per share over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over OBT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OBT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.3M | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.8M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $33M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.7M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.5M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $28M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.4M | +5.8% |
OBT's revenue is growing: $35M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +8.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | 42% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | -8.6 points |
OBT has the edge over HOOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
OBT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.3M | +$18M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.6M | +197% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.7M | -162% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +117% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.7M | -24% |
OBT's free cash flow was $62M over the past year, up 54% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBT.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over OBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
OBT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +2.2K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +45.7K shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +2.1M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +2.9M shares |
OBT has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
OBT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
OBT has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
OBT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.7 | Neutral |
OBT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OBT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OBT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 18% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
OBT has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
OBT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.3 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.2 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.9 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.2 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.1 | 47% above |
OBT has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
OBT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.7 | $13.6 | -7.3% |
| 2021 | $13.6 | $19.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $19.7 | $23.3 | +18% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $30.1 | +29% |
| 2024 | $30.1 | $27.4 | -8.9% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $28.7 | +4.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.7 | $39.9 | +39% |
OBT has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.