OBT

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OBT's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 6 points to 45% and earnings per share grew 24%. At 11x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

OBT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

OBT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBT.

OBT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$33.19-17%
Fair10x$37.40-6.2%
Current11x$39.86—
Forward11x$39.86—
Expensive12x$43.61+9.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OBT's PE is in its expensive range at 10.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.9x.

OBT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OBT, with profitability improving.

OBT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$52.50
Downside-18%$32.68

Calculated from the latest close: $39.86 on Nov 12.

OBT's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +32% against −18%.

OBT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.62Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.56Q3 2025: $3.02Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.56Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $3.65
Q4 2023: $2.62Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.56Q3 2025: $3.02Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.56Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $3.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.65-2.3%
Q3 2026$3.74+24%
Q2 2026$3.56+39%
Q1 2026$3.41+41%
Q4 2025$3.33+35%
Q3 2025$3.02+18%
Q2 2025$2.56-17%
Q1 2025$2.42-23%
Q4 2024$2.47-5.7%

OBT earned $3.74 per share over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

OBT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.3M+4.6%
Q2 2026$27.8M-14%
Q1 2026$32.1M+15%
Q4 2025$33M+21%
Q3 2025$33.7M+24%
Q2 2025$32.5M+16%
Q1 2025$28M+11%
Q4 2024$27.4M+5.8%

OBT's revenue is growing: $35M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

OBT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.5M-11%
Q2 2026$12.3M+$18M
Q1 2026$9.7M+123%
Q4 2025$13.1M+11%
Q3 2025$29.6M+197%
Q2 2025-$5.7M-162%
Q1 2025$4.3M+117%
Q4 2024$11.7M-24%

OBT's free cash flow was $62M over the past year, up 54% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBT.

OBT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+2.2K shares
1 year+0.3%+45.7K shares
3 years+19%+2.1M shares
5 years+27%+2.9M shares

OBT has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

OBT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -3.7xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -5.7xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -3.7xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -5.7xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

OBT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBT.

OBT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.4Neutral
Stochastic70.7Neutral

OBT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

OBT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOBTSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %67634 pts above

OBT is trading at 11x earnings, a 18% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OBT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.34.2% above
20 week MA$38.24.4% above
50 week MA$34.914% above
100 week MA$30.232% above
200 week MA$27.147% above

OBT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% above its 200-week average.

OBT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.7$13.6-7.3%
2021$13.6$19.7+45%
2022$19.7$23.3+18%
2023$23.3$30.1+29%
2024$30.1$27.4-8.9%
2025$27.4$28.7+4.5%
2026 YTD$28.7$39.9+39%

OBT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 39% so far in 2026.

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