HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NTRS

Northern Trust Corporation

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NTRS has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

NTRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

NTRS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NTRS.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

NTRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$155-13%
Current14x$178—
Forward14x$178—
Fair15x$188+6%
Expensive18x$235+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTRS has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over NTRS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

NTRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NTRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD trails NTRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$222.03
Downside-9%$162.08

Calculated from the latest close: $177.67 on Nov 12.

NTRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HOOD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over NTRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.59-1.3%
Q3 2026$12.76+49%
Q2 2026$11.65+37%
Q1 2026$9.55-11%
Q4 2025$8.74-11%
Q3 2025$8.57+6.6%
Q2 2025$8.50+16%
Q1 2025$10.71+136%
Q4 2024$9.77+92%

NTRS earned $12.76 per share over the past year, up 49% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over NTRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+13%
Q2 2026$2.7B+35%
Q1 2026$2.2B+14%
Q4 2025$2.1B+8.3%
Q3 2025$2B+2.9%
Q2 2025$2B-26%
Q1 2025$1.9B+18%
Q4 2024$2B+27%

NTRS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $2.3B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over NTRS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+254%
Q2 2026-$90.3M-105%
Q1 2026-$329.4M-112%
Q4 2025$355.6M+$3B
Q3 2025$509.4M-13%
Q2 2025$1.9B-37%
Q1 2025$2.7B+$4.2B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-198%

NTRS's free cash flow was $1.7B over the past year, down 28% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NTRS.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

NTRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-4.1%-7.8M shares
3 years-12%-24.1M shares
5 years-12%-25.7M shares
Available history-15%-32.4M shares

NTRS has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over NTRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NTRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

NTRS's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NTRS.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NTRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic37.9Neutral

NTRS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NTRS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNTRSSector medianRelative
PE14x13x7% above
PE %426321 pts below

NTRS has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

NTRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.13.9% above
20 week MA$178.90.7% below
50 week MA$162.49.4% above
100 week MA$138.628% above
200 week MA$111.260% above

NTRS has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

NTRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.0$91.6-14%
2021$91.6$118.2+29%
2022$118.2$88.0-26%
2023$88.0$84.4-4.1%
2024$84.4$103.8+23%
2025$103.8$140.1+35%
2026 YTD$140.1$177.7+27%

NTRS has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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