HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over NMIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NMIH
NMI Holdings, Inc.
NMIH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
NMIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NMIH's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NMIH.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over NMIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NMIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $34.99 | -10% |
| Forward | 7.3x | $38.88 | — |
| Current | 7.6x | $38.88 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $41.23 | +6% |
| Expensive | 9.8x | $50.07 | +29% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NMIH's PE is in its fair range at 7.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over NMIH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
NMIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NMIH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
NMIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.30 | +3.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.10 | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.09 | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.92 | +6.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.92 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.78 | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.71 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.63 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.43 | +15% |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over NMIH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NMIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $187.6M | +5% |
| Q2 2026 | $187.9M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.5M | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $180.7M | +8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $178.7M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $173.8M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $173.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $166.5M | +10% |
NMIH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $188M last quarter, up 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 64% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 73% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 68% | -7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 67% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 69% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 71% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 76% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 67% | -2.9 points |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
NMIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $108.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $140.2M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $115M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.1M | +75% |
| Q3 2025 | $126.3M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $126.7M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.4M | -9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.4M | +20% |
NMIH's free cash flow was $424M over the past year, up 9.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
NMIH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -468K shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.8M shares |
| Available history | +8.3% | +5.8M shares |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $30.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $24.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $24M |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $28.7M |
NMIH spent $118M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over NMIH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NMIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
NMIH's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NMIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.6 | Neutral |
NMIH's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
NMIH PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | NMIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.6x | 13x | 41% below |
| PE % | 32 | 63 | 31 pts below |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
NMIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.5 | 4% below |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 8.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.2 | 3.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.8 | 0.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.6 | 12% above |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
NMIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.6 | $22.8 | -32% |
| 2021 | $22.8 | $21.3 | -6.2% |
| 2022 | $21.3 | $20.6 | -3.4% |
| 2023 | $20.6 | $29.7 | +44% |
| 2024 | $29.7 | $36.7 | +24% |
| 2025 | $36.7 | $41.4 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.4 | $38.9 | -6.1% |
NMIH has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.