HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over NBHC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

NBHC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

NBHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

NBHC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBHC.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over NBHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$37.04—
Cheap11x$13.75-63%
Fair13x$16.12-56%
Expensive15x$19.14-48%
Current29x$37.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBHC's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NBHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBHC, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NBHC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NBHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$39.41
Downside-37%$23.50

Calculated from the latest close: $37.04 on Nov 12.

NBHC trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over NBHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87+207%
Q3 2026$1.26-60%
Q2 2026$2.38-23%
Q1 2026$2.68-7.3%
Q4 2025$2.85-7.5%
Q3 2025$3.15-2.5%
Q2 2025$3.09-6.6%
Q1 2025$2.89-17%
Q4 2024$3.08-17%

NBHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.26 over the past year, against $3.72 in late 2023.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over NBHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$126.4M+16%
Q2 2026$129.1M+24%
Q1 2026$126.8M+24%
Q4 2025$100.6M-0.6%
Q3 2025$108.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$104.5M+7%
Q1 2025$102.1M+0.3%
Q4 2024$101.3M-4.1%

NBHC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $126M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

NBHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.1M+26%
Q2 2026$135.1M+318%
Q1 2026-$56.8M-243%
Q4 2025$38.1M-18%
Q3 2025$52.4M+12%
Q2 2025$32.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$39.6M+32%
Q4 2024$46.4M+4%

NBHC has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over NBHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-157K shares
1 year+18%+6.7M shares
3 years+17%+6.6M shares
5 years+44%+13.7M shares
Available history+42%+13.2M shares

NBHC has 45M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $41M in buybacks over the past year.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

NBHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBHC has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NBHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.0Neutral
Stochastic6.4Oversold

NBHC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NBHC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBHCSector medianRelative
PE29x13x126% above
PE %1006337 pts above

NBHC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over NBHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NBHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.02.6% below
20 week MA$41.09.7% below
50 week MA$41.09.6% below
100 week MA$39.87% below
200 week MA$38.22.9% below

NBHC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.9% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

NBHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.3$33.1-6.3%
2021$33.1$43.5+32%
2022$43.5$42.1-3.3%
2023$42.1$37.2-12%
2024$37.2$43.2+16%
2025$43.2$38.8-10%
2026 YTD$38.8$37.0-4.6%

NBHC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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