HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over NAVI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NAVI

Navient Corporation

28
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

NAVI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

NAVI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NAVI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NAVI.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over NAVI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NAVI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.1x$2.19-64%
Fair5.5x$2.99-51%
Forward8.7x$6.14—
Expensive11x$5.99-2.5%
Current11x$6.14—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NAVI's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.7x.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NAVI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NAVI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NAVI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NAVI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$7.27
Downside-23%$4.71

Calculated from the latest close: $6.14 on Nov 12.

NAVI trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NAVI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.76Q4 2024: $1.18Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $-0.52Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.71
Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.76Q4 2024: $1.18Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $-0.52Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.71+31%
Q3 2026$0.54+$1.06
Q2 2026-$0.49-248%
Q1 2026-$0.62-219%
Q4 2025-$0.81-169%
Q3 2025-$0.52-168%
Q2 2025$0.33-77%
Q1 2025$0.52-68%
Q4 2024$1.18-36%

NAVI has returned to profit: it earned $0.54 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NAVI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $222MQ1 2024: $287MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $317M
Q4 2023: $222MQ1 2024: $287MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $317M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$317M+97%
Q2 2026$150M-3.8%
Q1 2026$152M-2.6%
Q4 2025$137M-39%
Q3 2025$161M-59%
Q2 2025$156M-37%
Q1 2025$156M-46%
Q4 2024$223M+0.5%

NAVI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $317M last quarter, up 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NAVI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $182MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $182MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$143M+13%
Q1 2026-$47M-166%
Q4 2025$174M+2075%
Q3 2025$70M+$80M
Q2 2025$126M-55%
Q1 2025$71M-61%
Q4 2024$8M-97%
Q3 2024-$10M-108%

NAVI's free cash flow was $340M over the past year, up 74% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NAVI.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

NAVI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1M shares
1 year-4.1%-4M shares
3 years-22%-27M shares
5 years-44%-73M shares
Available history-60%-139M shares

NAVI has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

NAVI Net Leverage

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NAVI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.4Oversold
Stochastic29.1Neutral

NAVI's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NAVI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNAVISector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %856322 pts above

NAVI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NAVI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6329% below
20 week MA$8.8531% below
50 week MA$9.3634% below
100 week MA$11.345% below
200 week MA$13.956% below

NAVI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 56% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD has the edge over NAVI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NAVI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$9.77-29%
2021$9.77$21.7+122%
2022$21.7$16.5-24%
2023$16.5$18.6+13%
2024$18.6$13.1-30%
2025$13.1$12.9-0.8%
2026 YTD$12.9$6.14-53%

NAVI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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