NAVI

Navient Corporation

28
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

NAVI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, about twice its usual 5.6x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

NAVI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NAVI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NAVI.

NAVI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.1x$2.19-64%
Fair5.5x$2.99-51%
Forward8.7x$6.14—
Expensive11x$5.99-2.5%
Current11x$6.14—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NAVI's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.7x.

NAVI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NAVI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NAVI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$7.27
Downside-23%$4.71

Calculated from the latest close: $6.14 on Nov 12.

NAVI's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −23% against +18%.

NAVI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.76Q4 2024: $1.18Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $-0.52Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.71
Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.76Q4 2024: $1.18Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $-0.52Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.71+31%
Q3 2026$0.54+$1.06
Q2 2026-$0.49-248%
Q1 2026-$0.62-219%
Q4 2025-$0.81-169%
Q3 2025-$0.52-168%
Q2 2025$0.33-77%
Q1 2025$0.52-68%
Q4 2024$1.18-36%

NAVI has returned to profit: it earned $0.54 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NAVI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $222MQ1 2024: $287MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $317M
Q4 2023: $222MQ1 2024: $287MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $317M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$317M+97%
Q2 2026$150M-3.8%
Q1 2026$152M-2.6%
Q4 2025$137M-39%
Q3 2025$161M-59%
Q2 2025$156M-37%
Q1 2025$156M-46%
Q4 2024$223M+0.5%

NAVI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $317M last quarter, up 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

NAVI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $182MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $182MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$143M+13%
Q1 2026-$47M-166%
Q4 2025$174M+2075%
Q3 2025$70M+$80M
Q2 2025$126M-55%
Q1 2025$71M-61%
Q4 2024$8M-97%
Q3 2024-$10M-108%

NAVI's free cash flow was $340M over the past year, up 74% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NAVI.

NAVI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1M shares
1 year-4.1%-4M shares
3 years-22%-27M shares
5 years-44%-73M shares
Available history-60%-139M shares

NAVI has 94M diluted shares, down 4.1% from a year ago.

NAVI Net Leverage

NAVI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.4Oversold
Stochastic29.1Neutral

NAVI's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NAVI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNAVISector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %856322 pts above

NAVI is trading at 11x earnings, a 13% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NAVI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6329% below
20 week MA$8.8531% below
50 week MA$9.3634% below
100 week MA$11.345% below
200 week MA$13.956% below

NAVI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 56% below its 200-week average.

NAVI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$9.77-29%
2021$9.77$21.7+122%
2022$21.7$16.5-24%
2023$16.5$18.6+13%
2024$18.6$13.1-30%
2025$13.1$12.9-0.8%
2026 YTD$12.9$6.14-53%

NAVI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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