HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MORN
Morningstar, Inc.
MORN has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
MORN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MORN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MORN.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
MORN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $246 | — |
| Current | 22x | $246 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $298 | +21% |
| Fair | 48x | $549 | +123% |
| Expensive | 88x | $999 | +306% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MORN has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MORN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MORN, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
MORN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.12 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.41 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.52 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.78 | +9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.87 | +3.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.80 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.40 | +64% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.91 | +80% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.58 | +161% |
MORN has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over MORN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over MORN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MORN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $672.1M | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $663.2M | +9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $644.8M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $641.1M | +8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $617.4M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $605.1M | +5.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $581.9M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $591M | +9.7% |
MORN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $672M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +11 points |
MORN's operating margin was 25% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over MORN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MORN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $155.4M | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.5M | +96% |
| Q1 2026 | $53.6M | -8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $161.3M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $160.1M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $62.4M | -48% |
| Q1 2025 | $58.8M | -1.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $112.8M | +4.6% |
MORN's free cash flow was $493M over the past year, up 25% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MORN.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
MORN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -11% | -4.5M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -5.6M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -5.5M shares |
MORN has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $300M |
| Q4 2025 | $395.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $170.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $109.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $11.6M |
MORN spent $895M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 122% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over MORN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MORN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
MORN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MORN.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MORN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 94.7 | Overbought |
MORN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 95 (overbought).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MORN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MORN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 13x | 66% above |
| PE % | 11 | 63 | 52 pts below |
MORN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
MORN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $216.6 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $202.4 | 22% above |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $236.4 | 4.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $251.9 | 2.3% below |
MORN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
MORN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $152.0 | $222.3 | +46% |
| 2021 | $222.3 | $339.5 | +53% |
| 2022 | $339.5 | $213.5 | -37% |
| 2023 | $213.5 | $286.2 | +34% |
| 2024 | $286.2 | $339.8 | +19% |
| 2025 | $339.8 | $219.1 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $219.1 | $246.1 | +12% |
MORN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.