HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LNC

Lincoln National Corporation

74
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LNC has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

LNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

LNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LNC.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

LNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.5x$41.80—
Cheap3.8x$63.26+51%
Forward4.9x$41.80—
Fair8.9x$149+257%
Expensive15x$256+512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LNC has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over LNC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

LNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$55.08
Downside-13%$36.21

Calculated from the latest close: $41.80 on Nov 12.

LNC trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over LNC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54-49%
Q3 2026$16.71+50%
Q2 2026$12.06+109%
Q1 2026$9.14+29%
Q4 2025$5.83-68%
Q3 2025$11.17+660%
Q2 2025$5.76-40%
Q1 2025$7.07-4.2%
Q4 2024$18.41+$23.33

LNC earned $16.71 per share over the past year, up 50% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over LNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+12%
Q1 2026$5.3B+13%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.8%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B-22%
Q1 2025$4.7B+14%
Q4 2024$5.1B+624%

LNC's revenue is growing: $5.5B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

LNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$875M+$2B
Q2 2026-$558M-155%
Q1 2026$138M+$410M
Q4 2025$233M+5%
Q3 2025-$1.1B-$1.1B
Q2 2025$1B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$272M+$1.1B
Q4 2024$222M+$2.1B

LNC has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over LNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+235K shares
1 year+1.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+15%+25.8M shares
5 years+4%+7.6M shares
Available history-2.7%-5.5M shares

LNC has 197M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

LNC Net Leverage

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LNC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLNCSector medianRelative
PE2.5x13x81% below
PE %56358 pts below

LNC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

LNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.63% above
20 week MA$42.00.4% below
50 week MA$39.85.1% above
100 week MA$38.010% above
200 week MA$33.027% above

LNC has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

LNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.7$49.7-15%
2021$49.7$67.9+36%
2022$67.9$30.1-56%
2023$30.1$27.0-10%
2024$27.0$31.8+18%
2025$31.8$45.7+44%
2026 YTD$45.7$41.8-8.6%

LNC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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