HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
KEY
KeyCorp
KEY has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
KEY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
KEY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KEY.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over KEY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
KEY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.9x | $14.34 | -33% |
| Forward | 10x | $21.33 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $20.72 | -2.9% |
| Current | 12x | $21.33 | — |
| Expensive | 17x | $30.68 | +44% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KEY's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KEY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KEY, with profitability improving.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over KEY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
KEY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.09 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.82 | +130% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.72 | +$1.81 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.63 | +$1.82 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +$1.84 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.79 | +7800% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.09 | -112% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.19 | -124% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.32 | -136% |
KEY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.82 over the past year, against $2.63 in late 2021.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over KEY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over KEY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KEY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +134% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $855M | -44% |
KEY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 36% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +81 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +106 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -48% | -52 points |
KEY's operating margin was 36% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
KEY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $684M | +86% |
| Q2 2026 | $233M | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | -$74M | +$76M |
| Q4 2025 | $673M | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | $367M | +$1.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +$1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -143% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +71% |
KEY's free cash flow was $1.5B over the past year, down 52% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
KEY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -15.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -46.4M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +133M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +112M shares |
| Available history | +6.2% | +62M shares |
KEY has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $26M |
| Q3 2021 | $150M |
| Q2 2021 | $300M |
| Q1 2021 | $135M |
| Q4 2020 | $17M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over KEY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
KEY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 9.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 21.2x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 37.8x | High |
KEY's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
KEY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.1 | Neutral |
KEY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
KEY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | KEY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 10% below |
| PE % | 55 | 63 | 8 pts below |
KEY has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
KEY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.6 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $21.7 | 1.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $21.4 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.3 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.7 | 28% above |
KEY has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
KEY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.3 | $16.2 | -20% |
| 2021 | $16.2 | $22.7 | +40% |
| 2022 | $22.7 | $17.2 | -24% |
| 2023 | $17.2 | $14.4 | -16% |
| 2024 | $14.4 | $17.2 | +19% |
| 2025 | $17.2 | $21.2 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.2 | $21.3 | +0.7% |
KEY has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.